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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
2–1
Full-time
St. Polten
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna St. Polten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 7. · St. Polten 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 30 23 2 5 +54 71
2 SK Rapid 30 16 8 6 +24 56
3 LASK 30 15 6 9 +20 51
4 Sturm Graz 30 14 8 8 +13 50
5 Wolfsberger AC 30 13 4 13 -8 43
6 Hartberg 30 10 11 9 -13 41
7 Austria Vienna 30 10 9 11 +4 39
8 Tirol 30 10 7 13 -3 37
9 Ried 30 7 9 14 -21 30
10 Altach 30 8 6 16 -25 30
11 Admira 30 6 7 17 -29 25
12 St. Polten 30 5 9 16 -16 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna St. Polten
1–0 P. Wimmer
28′
30′
🟨 Alexander Schmidt
34′
A. Schmidt 1–1
D. Hugi
Half-time 1–1
60′
🟨 Daniel Drescher
A. Grünwald 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
61′
C. Monschein 🔁
↦ M. Djuricin
62′
Patrick Wimmer 🟨
65′
2–1 A. Grünwald
68′
73′
🔁 S. Tetteh
↦ T. Booth
74′
🔁 D. Luxbacher
↦ D. Schütz
74′
🔁 R. Ljubičić
↦ D. Drescher
80′
🔁 C. Halper
↦ D. Hugi
84′
🟨 Peter Pokorný
Patrick Pentz 🟨
88′
S. Zwierschitz 🔁
↦ G. Teigl
89′
A. Zeka 🔁
↦ D. Fitz
89′
90′
🟨 Samuel Tetteh
A. Jukic 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

4-2-2-2
1 P. Pentz G
2 C. Schösswendter D
29 M. Suttner D
46 J. Handl D
39 G. Teigl D
70 M. Sarkaria M
36 D. Fitz F
5 V. Demaku M
22 E. Martel M
9 P. Wimmer M
92 M. Djuricin F
Bench (7)
10 A. Grünwald
14 C. Monschein
8 S. Zwierschitz
23 A. Zeka
77 A. Jukic
99 M. Kos
20 A. Poulsen

Coach: P. Stöger

St. Polten

3-4-3
1 C. Riegler G
29 D. Drescher D
21 K. Schulz M
5 M. Maranda D
17 A. Muhamedbegovic D
20 D. Schütz M
30 T. Booth F
81 B. Servania M
6 P. Pokorný M
19 D. Hugi F
9 A. Schmidt F
Bench (7)
99 S. Tetteh
10 D. Luxbacher
39 R. Ljubičić
22 C. Halper
13 A. Gremsl
8 R. Asadi
12 M. Tanzmayr

Coach: G. Baumgartner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.