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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Augsburg
T U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
22%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
15 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · Werder Bremen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 23 5 4 +52 74
2 RB Leipzig 32 19 7 6 +29 64
3 Wolfsburg 32 17 9 6 +25 60
4 Dortmund 32 18 4 10 +25 58
5 Ein Frankfurt 32 15 12 5 +15 57
6 Leverkusen 32 14 9 9 +16 51
7 M'gladbach 32 12 10 10 +7 46
8 Union Berlin 32 11 13 8 +6 46
9 Freiburg 32 12 8 12 +2 44
10 Stuttgart 32 11 9 12 +2 42
11 Hoffenheim 32 10 9 13 -3 39
12 Mainz 32 9 9 14 -16 36
13 Hertha 32 8 10 14 -10 34
14 Augsburg 32 9 6 17 -17 33
15 Werder Bremen 32 7 10 15 -17 31
16 Bielefeld 32 8 7 17 -28 31
17 FC Koln 32 7 8 17 -27 29
18 Schalke 04 32 2 7 23 -61 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Werder Bremen
Ruben Vargas 🟥
13′
42′
🟨 Christian Groß
Rafał Gikiewicz 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Christian Groß
49′
🟥 Christian Groß
55′
🔁 M. Friedl
↦ Ö. Toprak
56′
🔁 M. Rashica
↦ D. Selke
1–0 R. Khedira
R. Gumny
57′
Marco Richter 🟨
65′
D. Caligiuri 🔁
↦ M. Richter
70′
L. Bénes 🔁
↦ J. Morávek
71′
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
75′
81′
🔁 Y. Ōsako
↦ L. Bittencourt
André Hahn 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Niklas Moisander
2–0 D. Caligiuri
90′
91′
🔁 P. Erras
↦ M. Eggestein
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago D
28 A. Hahn M
14 J. Morávek M
8 R. Khedira M
23 M. Richter M
36 R. Oxford D
16 R. Vargas M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
20 D. Caligiuri
18 L. Bénes
27 A. Finnbogason
11 M. Gregoritsch
33 T. Strobl
32 R. Framberger
5 M. Suchý
40 T. Koubek
3 M. Pedersen

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
36 C. Groß M
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
10 L. Bittencourt M
35 M. Eggestein M
11 N. Füllkrug F
9 D. Selke F
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
32 M. Friedl
7 M. Rashica
8 Y. Ōsako
29 P. Erras
44 P. Bargfrede
34 J. Mbom
6 K. Möhwald
30 M. Zetterer
17 F. Agu

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,16
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.