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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Hartberg
U U S U T
2–0
Full-time
Admira
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Admira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 53%
63%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 6. · Admira 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 30 23 2 5 +54 71
2 SK Rapid 30 16 8 6 +24 56
3 LASK 30 15 6 9 +20 51
4 Sturm Graz 30 14 8 8 +13 50
5 Wolfsberger AC 30 13 4 13 -8 43
6 Hartberg 30 10 11 9 -13 41
7 Austria Vienna 30 10 9 11 +4 39
8 Tirol 30 10 7 13 -3 37
9 Ried 30 7 9 14 -21 30
10 Altach 30 8 6 16 -25 30
11 Admira 30 6 7 17 -29 25
12 St. Polten 30 5 9 16 -16 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Admira
-5′
🟨 Stephan Auer
8′
🟨 Roman Kerschbaum
1–0 J. Ertlthaler ⚽
R. Rep
23′
M. Horvat 🔁
↦ B. Nimaga
33′
Tobias Kainz 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Ganda
↦ L. Kronberger
46′
🔁 A. Wooten
↦ D. Starkl
49′
🟨 Marcus Maier
52′
🟨 Sebastian Bauer
2–0 R. Rep ⚽
54′
61′
🔁 M. Kadlec
↦ W. Vorsager
S. Gölles 🔁
↦ A. Lienhart
64′
D. Tadić 🔁
↦ S. Chabbi
64′
S. Rakowitz 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
65′
77′
🔁 S. Auer
↦ R. Kerschbaum
79′
🔁 M. Ostrzolek
↦ L. Lukačević
L. Ried 🔁
↦ F. Flecker
81′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Swete G
6 A. Lienhart D
14 C. Klem D
31 T. Rotter D
23 T. Kainz M
32 F. Luckeneder D
42 B. Nimaga M
7 J. Ertlthaler M
22 F. Flecker M
9 R. Rep M
45 S. Chabbi F
Bench (7)
11 M. Horvat
39 S. Gölles
24 D. Tadić
10 S. Rakowitz
27 L. Ried
20 M. Schmerböck
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: M. Schopp

Admira

3-4-3
1 A. Leitner G
93 N. Datković D
4 S. Bauer D
37 L. Lukačević M
27 E. Aiwu D
8 R. Kerschbaum M
22 M. Maier M
77 D. Atanga F
19 W. Vorsager M
7 D. Starkl F
63 L. Kronberger F
Bench (7)
97 J. Ganda
99 A. Wooten
20 M. Kadlec
2 S. Auer
84 M. Ostrzolek
30 C. Haas
16 E. Hoffer

Coach: K. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.