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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
Tirol
T T T S U
0–2
Full-time
A. Lustenau
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol A. Lustenau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
64%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
60%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 7. · A. Lustenau 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 25 18 6 1 +39 60
2 Sturm Graz 25 16 6 3 +25 54
3 LASK 25 11 10 4 +11 43
4 Austria Vienna 25 10 8 7 +6 38
5 SK Rapid 25 11 4 10 +8 37
6 A. Lustenau 25 9 6 10 -8 33
7 Tirol 25 9 5 11 -2 32
8 A. Klagenfurt 25 9 3 13 -12 30
9 Wolfsberger AC 26 8 4 14 -7 28
10 Hartberg 26 6 5 15 -19 23
11 Altach 25 5 6 14 -22 21
12 Ried 25 4 7 14 -19 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol A. Lustenau
26′
🔁 M. Maak
↦ J. Hugonet
40′
🟨 Anderson
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Türkmen
↦ Adriel
46′
🔁 F. Gmeiner
↦ A. Schmid
Raffael Behounek 🟨
56′
57′
L. Fridrikas 0–1
Ž. Rogelj 🔁
↦ A. Ranacher
62′
J. Forst 🔁
↦ T. Prica
62′
B. Blume 🔁
↦ J. Naschberger
63′
S. Skrbo 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
69′
70′
🟨 Lukas Fridrikas
70′
🔁 D. Tiefenbach
↦ S. Surdanović
75′
Anderson 0–2
D. Tiefenbach
79′
🔁 M. Cheukoua
↦ L. Fridrikas
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
14 A. Ranacher D
5 F. Bacher D
30 R. Behounek D
44 K. Schulz D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
4 V. Müller M
17 J. Naschberger M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
7 T. Sabitzer F
33 T. Prica F
Bench (7)
21 Ž. Rogelj
19 J. Forst
10 B. Blume
23 S. Skrbo
13 B. Ozegovic
16 O. Okungbowa
26 D. Štumberger

Coach: T. Silberberger

A. Lustenau

3-5-2
27 D. Schierl G
35 Adriel D
5 J. Hugonet D
6 D. Grujčić D
28 Anderson M
18 A. Schmid M
70 S. Surdanović M
23 P. Grabher M
12 H. Guenouche M
20 L. Fridrikas F
22 Y. Diaby F
Bench (7)
31 M. Maak
8 C. Türkmen
7 F. Gmeiner
33 D. Tiefenbach
11 M. Cheukoua
10 N. Motika
13 A. Helac

Coach: M. Mader

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.