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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
Sturm Graz
S T U T S
0–1
Full-time
LASK
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · LASK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 5 4 0 1 +7 12
2 LASK 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 A. Lustenau 5 3 1 1 +4 10
4 Sturm Graz 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 SK Rapid 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Tirol 4 1 1 2 -1 4
7 Ried 4 1 1 2 -1 4
8 Austria Vienna 4 1 1 2 -3 4
9 A. Klagenfurt 5 1 1 3 -4 4
10 Altach 5 1 1 3 -5 4
11 Hartberg 4 1 0 3 -5 3
12 Wolfsberger AC 4 0 2 2 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz LASK
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 E. Koulouris
↦ M. Ljubičić
J. Jantscher 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
64′
65′
K. Nakamura 0–1
R. Žulj
A. Borković 🔁
↦ D. Affengruber
72′
M. Wels 🔁
↦ S. Hierländer
72′
73′
🔁 S. Horvath
↦ R. Žulj
Gregory Wüthrich 🟨
81′
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
83′
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ A. Prass
83′
85′
🔁 M. Potzmann
↦ R. Renner
85′
🔁 Á. Kecskés
↦ K. Nakamura
David Schnegg 🟨
86′
87′
🟨 Alexander Schlager
88′
🟨 Branko Jovičić
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc-Stankovic M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
9 R. Højlund F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
13 J. Jantscher
6 A. Borković
37 M. Wels
20 E. Emegha
30 I. Ljubic
24 S. Ingolitsch
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

LASK

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schlager G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
33 F. Luckeneder D
7 R. Renner D
18 B. Jovičić M
8 P. Michorl M
27 T. Goiginger M
10 R. Žulj M
38 K. Nakamura M
11 M. Ljubičić F
Bench (7)
20 E. Koulouris
30 S. Horvath
19 M. Potzmann
3 Á. Kecskés
24 T. Lawal
14 H. Balić
43 N. Celić

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.