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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

LASK

S S T U U

2–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 54%

43%

65%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

52%

48%

Both score Ø 66%

74%

57%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LASK 3. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	24	18	5	1	+39	59
2	Sturm Graz	23	15	6	2	+24	51
3	LASK	23	10	9	4	+10	39
4	Austria Vienna	24	10	7	7	+6	37
5	SK Rapid	24	11	3	10	+8	36
6	A. Lustenau	24	9	6	9	-6	33
7	Tirol	24	9	4	11	-2	31
8	A. Klagenfurt	24	9	3	12	-10	30
9	Wolfsberger AC	24	7	3	14	-9	24
10	Hartberg	24	6	3	15	-19	21
11	Altach	24	5	5	14	-22	20
12	Ried	24	4	6	14	-19	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	12	9	1	2	+13	28
2	Salzburg	12	7	5	0	+15	26
3	Austria Vienna	12	6	3	3	+6	21
4	A. Lustenau	12	6	3	3	+1	21
5	SK Rapid	12	6	1	5	+6	19
6	LASK	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Tirol	12	4	3	5	-4	15
8	A. Klagenfurt	12	4	1	7	-7	13
9	Altach	12	3	3	6	-5	12
10	Hartberg	12	3	2	7	-9	11
11	Ried	12	2	4	6	-8	10
12	Wolfsberger AC	12	2	1	9	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	11	0	1	+24	33
2	Sturm Graz	11	6	5	0	+11	23
3	LASK	12	5	6	1	+8	21
4	SK Rapid	12	5	2	5	+2	17
5	Wolfsberger AC	12	5	2	5	+0	17
6	A. Klagenfurt	12	5	2	5	-3	17
7	Tirol	12	5	1	6	+2	16
8	Austria Vienna	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	A. Lustenau	12	3	3	6	-7	12
10	Hartberg	12	3	1	8	-10	10
11	Ried	12	2	2	8	-11	8
12	Altach	12	2	2	8	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.