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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
LASK
T S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 54%
47%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
60%
47%
Both score Ø 67%
80%
53%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 3. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 12 3 1 +24 39
2 Sturm Graz 15 9 5 1 +15 32
3 LASK 15 7 5 3 +9 26
4 SK Rapid 16 7 3 6 +7 24
5 Tirol 16 7 3 6 +1 24
6 Austria Vienna 16 6 5 5 +0 23
7 A. Klagenfurt 16 6 3 7 -3 21
8 A. Lustenau 16 4 6 6 -5 18
9 Wolfsberger AC 16 5 2 9 -5 17
10 Altach 16 4 3 9 -14 15
11 Ried 16 3 4 9 -12 13
12 Hartberg 16 3 2 11 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -22 Sturm Graz – LASK 0–1 21. Nov -21 Sturm Graz – LASK 3–3 15. Aug -21 LASK – Sturm Graz 1–3 28. Apr -21 LASK – Sturm Graz 0–0 25. Apr -21 Sturm Graz – LASK 3–1

Match report

LASK Sturm Graz
Thomas Goiginger 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Renner ⚽
46′
59′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ A. Ajeti
59′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ S. Hierländer
59′
🔁 D. Schnegg
↦ A. Danté
Sascha Horvath 🟨
68′
71′
🔁 J. Jantscher
↦ W. Bøving
76′
⚽ E. Emegha 1–1
J. Gazibegović
F. Flecker 🔁
↦ T. Goiginger
77′
N. Čelić 🔁
↦ R. Žulj
89′
90′
🔁 I. Ljubic
↦ O. Kiteishvili
G. Zirngast 🔁
↦ S. Horvath
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

LASK

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schlager G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
33 F. Luckeneder D
7 R. Renner D
30 S. Horvath M
18 B. Jovičić M
27 T. Goiginger M
10 R. Žulj M
38 K. Nakamura M
11 M. Ljubičić F
Bench (7)
29 F. Flecker
43 N. Čelić
42 G. Zirngast
24 T. Lawal
3 Á. Kecskés
20 E. Koulouris
19 M. Potzmann

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Danté D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
9 A. Ajeti F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (7)
20 E. Emegha
19 T. Horvat
28 D. Schnegg
13 J. Jantscher
30 I. Ljubic
6 A. Borković
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.