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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
A. Klagenfurt
U U S S T
0–3
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
38%
62%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
62%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

50% Possession 50%
3 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 5. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 13 9 2 2 +21 29
2 Sturm Graz 13 8 3 2 +10 27
3 LASK 13 7 4 2 +9 25
4 Hartberg 14 7 4 3 +6 25
5 A. Klagenfurt 13 5 6 2 +2 21
6 Wolfsberger AC 14 5 5 4 +1 20
7 SK Rapid 14 4 6 4 +11 18
8 Austria Vienna 13 5 3 5 +1 18
9 BW Linz 13 3 4 6 -11 13
10 Altach 14 3 4 7 -12 13
11 Tirol 14 2 2 10 -13 8
12 A. Lustenau 14 0 3 11 -25 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Aug -23 Sturm Graz – A. Klagenfurt 0–0 14. May -23 Sturm Graz – A. Klagenfurt 4–1 16. Apr -23 A. Klagenfurt – Sturm Graz 0–2 25. Feb -23 Sturm Graz – A. Klagenfurt 1–2 11. Sep -22 A. Klagenfurt – Sturm Graz 0–2

Match report

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz
3′
⚽ J. Gorenc Stankovič 0–1
19′
⚽ T. Horvat 0–2
J. Gazibegović
S. Bonnah 🔁
↦ S. Straudi
22′
Half-time 0–2
A. Irving 🔁
↦ T. Gemicibaşı
59′
F. Jaritz 🔁
↦ J. Arweiler
59′
65′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ Bryan Teixeira
67′
⚽ T. Horvat 0–3
D. Schnegg
Andy Irving 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 David Schnegg
74′
🔁 A. Dante
↦ D. Schnegg
J. Robatsch 🔁
↦ R. Benatelli
75′
A. Schwarz 🔁
↦ S. Karweina
75′
82′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

A. Klagenfurt

3-5-2
13 P. Menzel G
4 N. Đorić D
31 T. Mahrer D
37 N. Wimmer D
17 S. Straudi M
24 C. Wernitznig M
20 R. Benatelli M
81 T. Gemicibaşı M
33 T. Schumacher M
10 S. Karweina F
39 J. Arweiler F
Bench (6)
2 S. Bonnah
19 A. Irving
7 F. Jaritz
34 J. Robatsch
77 A. Schwarz
30 D. Puntigam

Coach: P. Pacult

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
24 D. Lavalée M
17 Bryan Teixeira M
9 S. Włodarczyk F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
36 A. Camara
44 A. Dante
25 S. Hierländer
29 M. Fuseini
14 Javi Serrano
6 A. Borković
31 L. Marić

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.