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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Sturm Graz

S S S T S

0–2

Full-time

Salzburg

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 68%

64%

72%

Points per game

2,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

0,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

6 Shots 5

0 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Salzburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	25	18	6	1	+39	60
2	Sturm Graz	25	16	6	3	+25	54
3	LASK	26	12	10	4	+13	46
4	Austria Vienna	26	10	8	8	+5	38
5	SK Rapid	26	11	4	11	+6	37
6	A. Lustenau	26	10	6	10	-6	36
7	A. Klagenfurt	26	10	3	13	-11	33
8	Tirol	26	9	5	12	-4	32
9	Wolfsberger AC	26	8	4	14	-7	28
10	Hartberg	26	6	5	15	-19	23
11	Altach	26	5	7	14	-22	22
12	Ried	26	4	8	14	-19	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	12	9	1	2	+13	28
2	Salzburg	13	7	6	0	+15	27
3	LASK	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Austria Vienna	13	6	3	4	+5	21
5	A. Lustenau	13	6	3	4	-1	21
6	SK Rapid	13	6	2	5	+6	20
7	Tirol	13	4	3	6	-6	15
8	Altach	13	3	4	6	-5	13
9	A. Klagenfurt	13	4	1	8	-9	13
10	Hartberg	13	3	3	7	-9	12
11	Ried	13	2	5	6	-8	11
12	Wolfsberger AC	13	2	2	9	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	11	0	1	+24	33
2	Sturm Graz	13	7	5	1	+12	26
3	LASK	13	5	7	1	+8	22
4	Wolfsberger AC	13	6	2	5	+2	20
5	A. Klagenfurt	13	6	2	5	-2	20
6	Tirol	13	5	2	6	+2	17
7	Austria Vienna	13	4	5	4	+0	17
8	SK Rapid	13	5	2	6	+0	17
9	A. Lustenau	13	4	3	6	-5	15
10	Hartberg	13	3	2	8	-10	11
11	Ried	13	2	3	8	-11	9
12	Altach	13	2	3	8	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.