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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

SK Rapid

S U T T U

1–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

29%

71%

Points per game

1,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 8. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	Sturm Graz	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	LASK	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	A. Klagenfurt	8	3	4	1	+4	13
5	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	-2	12
6	Altach	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Wolfsberger AC	8	2	4	2	-2	10
8	SK Rapid	7	2	3	2	+6	9
9	BW Linz	8	2	2	4	-8	8
10	Austria Vienna	8	1	2	5	-7	5
11	Tirol	8	1	2	5	-8	5
12	A. Lustenau	8	0	2	6	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Altach	4	2	0	2	-1	6
5	SK Rapid	4	1	2	1	+3	5
6	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	1	2	-3	4
8	Hartberg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
9	Austria Vienna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
10	BW Linz	3	0	2	1	-5	2
11	Tirol	4	0	1	3	-5	1
12	A. Lustenau	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sturm Graz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	A. Klagenfurt	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Hartberg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	BW Linz	5	2	0	3	-3	6
7	Altach	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	+3	4
9	LASK	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Austria Vienna	5	1	0	4	-4	3
12	A. Lustenau	4	0	2	2	-3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.