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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Sturm Graz
S T S S S
3–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 55%
64%
45%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · SK Rapid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 23 18 4 1 +39 58
2 Sturm Graz 22 14 6 2 +22 48
3 LASK 23 10 9 4 +10 39
4 Austria Vienna 23 10 6 7 +6 36
5 SK Rapid 22 10 3 9 +8 33
6 A. Lustenau 23 8 6 9 -7 30
7 A. Klagenfurt 23 9 3 11 -8 30
8 Tirol 23 8 4 11 -6 28
9 Wolfsberger AC 23 7 3 13 -5 24
10 Altach 23 5 5 13 -21 20
11 Ried 23 4 6 13 -17 18
12 Hartberg 23 5 3 15 -21 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
1–0 E. Emegha
T. Horvat
6′
Emanuel Emegha 🟨
11′
17′
G. Burgstaller 1–1
T. Schick
23′
🟨 Thorsten Schick
Stefan Hierländer 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Sarkaria
46′
Jon Gorenc Stanković 🟨
56′
O. Kiteishvili 🔁
↦ S. Hierländer
62′
62′
🔁 P. Greil
↦ C. Knasmüllner
62′
🔁 D. Kasius
↦ T. Schick
3–1 O. Kiteishvili
E. Emegha
70′
David Affengruber 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 A. Bajić
↦ M. Grüll
73′
🔁 B. Zimmermann
↦ R. Kerschbaum
A. Ajeti 🔁
↦ E. Emegha
77′
N. Geyrhofer 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
85′
Bryan Teixeira 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
85′
A. Danté 🔁
↦ A. Prass
85′
85′
🔁 M. Oswald
↦ G. Burgstaller
88′
🟨 Aleksa Pejić
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 A. Okonkwo G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
6 A. Borković D
28 D. Schnegg D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
20 E. Emegha F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
10 O. Kiteishvili
9 A. Ajeti
35 N. Geyrhofer
17 Bryan Teixeira
44 A. Danté
30 I. Ljubic
27 J. Siebenhandl

Coach: C. Ilzer

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
13 T. Schick D
43 L. Querfeld D
19 M. Sollbauer D
23 J. Auer D
5 R. Kerschbaum M
14 A. Pejić M
18 O. Strunz M
8 C. Knasmüllner M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
24 P. Greil
2 D. Kasius
29 A. Bajić
41 B. Zimmermann
28 M. Oswald
21 B. Unger
26 M. Moormann

Coach: Z. Barišić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.