Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

BW Linz

U S T S S

3–4

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

BW Linz Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 54%

33%

75%

Points per game

1,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

33%

38%

Both score Ø 18%

11%

25%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

21 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match BW Linz 9. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	8	6	0	2	+10	+2.9	18
2	Salzburg	9	5	2	2	+7	+4.2	17
3	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+6	+0.1	17
4	SK Rapid	9	5	2	2	+4	+0.8	17
5	Austria Vienna	10	5	1	4	+0	+0.0	16
6	Ried	10	4	2	4	+1	-2.4	14
7	Hartberg	10	3	3	4	+0	-0.4	12
8	Altach	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.1	12
9	BW Linz	9	3	1	5	-4	-2.2	10
10	Tirol	9	2	3	4	-3	+3.9	9
11	LASK	9	2	1	6	-8	-5.0	7
12	Grazer AK	10	0	6	4	-13	-3.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	3	1	1	+7	+2.7	10
2	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	0	3	+2	-0.1	9
3	Altach	5	2	2	1	+0	+0.9	8
4	Tirol	5	2	1	2	+2	+3.9	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.8	7
6	LASK	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.9	7
7	BW Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	-1.3	6
8	Austria Vienna	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.2	6
9	Ried	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.5	5
10	Grazer AK	6	0	4	2	-5	-0.2	4
11	Sturm Graz	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.0	3
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	5	5	0	0	+11	+2.9	15
2	Hartberg	7	3	2	2	+2	-0.4	11
3	Austria Vienna	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.2	10
4	SK Rapid	5	3	1	1	+2	-0.0	10
5	Ried	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.9	9
6	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.2	8
7	Salzburg	4	2	1	1	+0	+1.5	7
8	Altach	4	1	1	2	+0	+0.1	4
9	BW Linz	5	1	1	3	-5	-0.8	4
10	Tirol	4	0	2	2	-5	–	2
11	Grazer AK	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.7	2
12	LASK	4	0	0	4	-7	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.