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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
LASK
U U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
40%
70%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
70%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 8. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 10 7 1 2 +12 22
2 SK Rapid 11 6 4 1 +4 22
3 Austria Vienna 11 5 3 3 +4 18
4 Wolfsberger AC 11 5 2 4 +6 17
5 Salzburg 9 5 2 2 +3 17
6 Hartberg 10 4 3 3 +1 15
7 BW Linz 11 4 2 5 -3 14
8 LASK 10 4 1 5 +0 13
9 A. Klagenfurt 10 3 3 4 -6 12
10 Altach 11 2 3 6 -4 9
11 Tirol 11 2 3 6 -7 9
12 Grazer AK 11 0 5 6 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. May -24 LASK – Sturm Graz 2–2 7. Apr -24 Sturm Graz – LASK 1–0 5. Nov -23 LASK – Sturm Graz 3–1 5. Aug -23 Sturm Graz – LASK 2–0 3. Jun -23 Sturm Graz – LASK 2–0

Match report

LASK Sturm Graz
Marin Ljubičić 🟨
30′
33′
⚽ O. Kiteishvili 0–1
M. Johnston
36′
🟨 Mika Biereth
Philipp Ziereis 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
H. Smolčić 🔁
↦ M. Talovierov
46′
M. Bogarde 🔁
↦ B. Jovičić
46′
58′
🟨 Seedy Jatta
1–1 H. Smolčić ⚽
R. Žulj
59′
61′
🔁 L. Zvonarek
↦ S. Jatta
A. Taoui 🔁
↦ V. Berisha
68′
M. Entrup 🔁
↦ M. Ljubičić
68′
80′
🔁 E. Yardımcı
↦ M. Yalcouyé
80′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ T. Chukwuani
84′
⚽ L. Zvonarek 1–2
Filip Stojković 🟨
89′
93′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ M. Biereth
99′
🟨 Max Johnston
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

LASK

4-2-3-1
28 J. Siebenhandl G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
4 M. Talovierov D
2 G. Bello D
30 S. Horvath M
18 B. Jovičić M
29 F. Flecker M
10 R. Žulj M
14 V. Berisha M
9 M. Ljubičić F
Bench (7)
26 H. Smolčić
6 M. Bogarde
44 A. Taoui
11 M. Entrup
35 M. Sulzner
3 T. Galvez
36 L. Jungwirth

Coach: M. Schopp

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
2 M. Johnston D
47 E. Aiwu D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
24 D. Lavalée D
8 M. Yalcouyé M
21 T. Chukwuani M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Bøving M
20 S. Jatta F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (7)
14 L. Zvonarek
9 E. Yardımcı
25 S. Hierländer
19 T. Horvat
17 E. Karić
53 D. Khudyakov
38 L. Grgić

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.