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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

Sturm Graz

S T S S S

4–2

Full-time

Tirol

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Tirol 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Sturm Graz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Austria Vienna	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	BW Linz	5	2	1	2	-2	7
6	A. Klagenfurt	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Altach	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	LASK	4	1	0	3	-2	3
11	Grazer AK	5	0	3	2	-3	3
12	Hartberg	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	BW Linz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Austria Vienna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sturm Graz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	A. Klagenfurt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Hartberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
3	LASK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Altach	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Tirol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-2	2
8	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	SK Rapid	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	BW Linz	3	0	1	2	-6	1
11	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.