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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Basel
S S T U S
1–4
Full-time
Zurich
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 2. · Zurich 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 14 9 4 1 +12 31
2 Basel 14 7 2 5 +4 23
3 St. Gallen 14 6 5 3 +3 23
4 Lugano 14 4 8 2 +1 20
5 Zurich 14 5 4 5 +3 19
6 Lausanne 15 5 4 6 +0 19
7 Servette 14 5 4 5 -1 19
8 Sion 15 3 7 5 -5 16
9 Luzern 14 3 4 7 -3 13
10 Vaduz 14 1 4 9 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Nov -20 Zurich – Basel 1–0 14. Jul -20 Basel – Zurich 4–0 8. Feb -20 Zurich – Basel 0–4 27. Oct -19 Zurich – Basel 3–2 25. Sep -19 Basel – Zurich 4–0

Match report

Basel Zurich
27′
🟨 Blaž Kramer
Pajtim Kasami 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ V. Stocker
46′
Afimico Pululu 🟨
50′
55′
🔁 S. Wallner
↦ B. Omeragić
Raoul Petretta 🟨
56′
62′
🟨 Blerim Džemaili
62′
🟨 Ousmane Doumbia
67′
⚽ E. Cömert 1–0
own goal
69′
🔁 A. Ceesay
↦ B. Kramer
70′
🔁 W. Gnonto
↦ M. Schönbächler
J. von Moos 🔁
↦ S. Widmer
71′
A. Padula 🔁
↦ Afimico Pululu
71′
73′
⚽ L. Sobiech 1–1
B. Džemaili
2–1 Arthur Cabral ⚽
75′
R. van Wolfswinkel 🔁
↦ P. Kasami
77′
80′
🔁 T. Domgjoni
↦ B. Džemaili
80′
⚽ F. Frei 3–1
own goal
94′
⚽ A. Marchesano 3–2
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 H. Lindner G
17 T. Klose D
5 S. Widmer D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
14 V. Stocker M
7 L. Zuffi M
20 F. Frei M
23 P. Kasami M
98 Arthur Cabral F
11 Afimico Pululu M
Bench (7)
30 E. Zhegrova
18 J. von Moos
72 A. Padula
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
1 Đ. Nikolić
8 Y. Marchand
21 J. van der Werff

Coach: C. Sforza

Zurich

4-4-1-1
25 Y. Brecher G
5 L. Sobiech D
6 F. Aliti D
3 Nathan D
4 B. Omeragić D
21 B. Džemaili M
27 M. Schönbächler M
10 A. Marchesano F
20 O. Doumbia M
18 B. Kramer F
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
42 S. Wallner
9 A. Ceesay
22 W. Gnonto
14 T. Domgjoni
1 Ž. Kostadinović
19 T. Schättin
26 S. Khelifi

Coach: M. Rizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.