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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Lugano
T S U U U
1–3
Full-time
Young Boys
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Super League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 48%
28%
67%
Points per game
1,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
28%
56%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 3. · Young Boys 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 18 12 5 1 +17 41
2 Basel 19 9 4 6 +4 31
3 Lugano 18 5 11 2 +2 26
4 Zurich 19 7 4 8 +2 25
5 St. Gallen 19 6 7 6 +0 25
6 Servette 19 6 6 7 -4 24
7 Lausanne 19 6 5 8 -1 23
8 Sion 20 4 9 7 -6 21
9 Luzern 17 4 5 8 -2 17
10 Vaduz 18 3 6 9 -12 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Jan -21 Lugano – Young Boys 0–2 19. Dec -20 Young Boys – Lugano 2–2 5. Jul -20 Young Boys – Lugano 3–0 16. Feb -20 Lugano – Young Boys 2–1 15. Dec -19 Lugano – Young Boys 0–0

Match report

Lugano Young Boys
10′
⚽ J. Nsame 0–1
17′
⚽ M. Elia 0–2
J. Nsame
Half-time 0–3
46′
⚽ S. Lauper 0–3
J. Lefort
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ Á. Kecskés
46′
A. Gerndt 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
46′
46′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ F. Lustenberger
1–3 A. Gerndt ⚽
59′
M. Čovilo 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
64′
67′
🔁 M. Sulejmani
↦ C. Fassnacht
68′
🔁 T. Siebatcheu
↦ M. Ngamaleu
S. Guidotti 🔁
↦ S. Lovric
69′
Miroslav Čovilo 🟨
71′
Roman Macek 🟨
71′
76′
🟨 Miralem Sulejmani
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ R. Macek
78′
78′
🔁 G. Gaudino
↦ M. Elia
90′
🔁 Q. Maceiras
↦ S. Hefti
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lugano

3-1-4-2
46 N. Baumann G
30 F. Daprelà D
91 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
25 M. Ošs D
4 Á. Kecskés D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
77 R. Macek F
24 S. Lovric M
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (7)
8 C. Lungoyi
19 A. Gerndt
6 M. Čovilo
22 S. Guidotti
10 M. Bottani
58 S. Osigwe
13 L. Opara

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
28 F. Lustenberger D
25 J. Lefort D
5 C. Zesiger D
36 S. Hefti D
13 M. Ngamaleu M
16 C. Fassnacht M
30 S. Lauper M
20 M. Aebischer M
18 J. Nsame F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (7)
4 M. Camara
10 M. Sulejmani
17 T. Siebatcheu
11 G. Gaudino
24 Q. Maceiras
91 G. Faivre
19 F. Mambimbi

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.