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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Zurich
S T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Basel
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Super League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
37%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 4. · Basel 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 18 12 5 1 +17 41
2 Basel 19 9 4 6 +4 31
3 Lugano 18 5 11 2 +2 26
4 Zurich 19 7 4 8 +2 25
5 St. Gallen 19 6 7 6 +0 25
6 Servette 19 6 6 7 -4 24
7 Lausanne 19 6 5 8 -1 23
8 Sion 20 4 9 7 -6 21
9 Luzern 17 4 5 8 -2 17
10 Vaduz 18 3 6 9 -12 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jan -21 Basel – Zurich 1–4 4. Nov -20 Zurich – Basel 1–0 14. Jul -20 Basel – Zurich 4–0 8. Feb -20 Zurich – Basel 0–4 27. Oct -19 Zurich – Basel 3–2

Match report

Zurich Basel
Fidan Aliti 🟨
17′
1–0 A. Marchesano ⚽
26′
33′
ℹ️ Edon Zhegrova
VAR: Goal cancelled
Nathan 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Gonçalo Cardoso
↦ E. Cömert
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ S. Khelifi
69′
72′
🔁 M. Sene
↦ E. Zhegrova
Blaž Kramer 🟨
77′
83′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ O. Bunjaku
H. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
87′
90′
🟨 Fabian Frei
2–0 B. Kramer ⚽
W. Gnonto
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
6 F. Aliti D
3 Nathan D
23 F. Rohner D
4 B. Omeragić D
10 A. Marchesano M
26 S. Khelifi M
20 O. Doumbia M
14 T. Domgjoni M
9 A. Ceesay M
18 B. Kramer F
Bench (7)
22 W. Gnonto
71 H. Kryeziu
31 M. Kryeziu
7 A. Winter
19 T. Schättin
1 Ž. Kostadinović
27 M. Schönbächler

Coach: M. Rizzo

Basel

4-1-4-1
13 H. Lindner G
17 T. Klose D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
21 J. van der Werff D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
23 P. Kasami M
30 E. Zhegrova M
22 O. Bunjaku M
98 Arthur Cabral F
Bench (7)
3 Gonçalo Cardoso
77 M. Sene
11 Afimico Pululu
1 Đ. Nikolić
7 L. Zuffi
76 A. Hajdari
9 R. van Wolfswinkel

Coach: C. Sforza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.