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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Luzern
U U T U U
2–0
Full-time
St. Gallen
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 95%
100%
90%
Average goals
3,5
3,9
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
2,1
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
7 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 10. · St. Gallen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 10 6 4 0 +16 22
2 Young Boys 10 6 3 1 +17 21
3 Zurich 11 6 3 2 +6 21
4 Grasshoppers 11 3 5 3 +2 14
5 Lugano 9 4 2 3 +2 14
6 Servette 10 3 3 4 -5 12
7 St. Gallen 10 2 3 5 -9 9
8 Sion 10 2 3 5 -11 9
9 Lausanne 11 1 4 6 -11 7
10 Luzern 10 0 6 4 -7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.