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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Rennes
T S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Strasbourg
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
30%
70%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
17 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 8. · Strasbourg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 9 0 1 +14 27
2 Nice 10 6 2 2 +13 20
3 Lens 10 5 3 2 +5 18
4 Marseille 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Angers 11 4 5 2 +4 17
6 Nantes 11 5 2 4 +4 17
7 Lyon 11 4 4 3 +2 16
8 Rennes 10 4 3 3 +6 15
9 Lille 11 4 3 4 -2 15
10 Strasbourg 10 4 2 4 +3 14
11 Monaco 10 4 2 4 +1 14
12 Lorient 10 3 5 2 -2 14
13 Montpellier 10 3 4 3 +1 13
14 Clermont 11 3 4 4 -8 13
15 Reims 10 2 5 3 -1 11
16 Troyes 10 2 3 5 -5 9
17 Bordeaux 10 1 5 4 -9 8
18 Brest 11 0 6 5 -8 6
19 Metz 10 1 3 6 -11 6
20 St Etienne 11 0 5 6 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Strasbourg
Jonas Martin 🟨
6′
32′
🟨 Maxime Le Marchand
41′
🔁 H. Diallo
↦ K. Gameiro
Half-time 0–0
58′
🟨 Anthony Caci
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
77′
77′
🔁 J. Aholou
↦ S. Prcić
77′
🔁 D. Liénard
↦ J. Bellegarde
L. Majer 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
78′
1–0 N. Aguerd
L. Majer
82′
L. Tchaouna 🔁
↦ K. Sulemana
89′
89′
🔁 A. Thomasson
↦ A. Caci
89′
🔁 A. Waris
↦ I. Sissoko
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
16 A. Gomis G
27 H. Traoré D
25 B. Meling D
6 N. Aguerd D
23 W. Omari D
28 J. Martin M
20 F. Tait M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
10 K. Sulemana M
24 G. Laborde F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (9)
9 S. Guirassy
21 L. Majer
17 L. Tchaouna
4 L. Badé
26 L. Ugochukwu
22 L. Assignon
1 R. Salin
3 A. Truffert
8 B. Santamaría

Coach: B. Génésio

Strasbourg

5-3-2
1 M. Sels G
23 M. Le Marchand D
2 F. Guilbert D
24 A. Djiku D
22 G. Nyamsi D
19 A. Caci D
14 S. Prcić M
27 I. Sissoko M
17 J. Bellegarde M
9 K. Gameiro F
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (9)
20 H. Diallo
6 J. Aholou
11 D. Liénard
10 A. Thomasson
8 A. Waris
34 N. Kandil
33 H. Diarra
16 E. Kawashima
5 L. Perrin

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,68
B
4,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.