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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Ajax

S S S T S

5–0

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

3,5

1,8

Conceded

0,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+3,3

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 78%

78%

Points per game

2,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

56%

89%

Both score Ø 39%

11%

67%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

3,6

2,4

Conceded

0,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+3,3

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 1

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+30	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Utrecht	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+12	19
5	Willem II	10	5	3	2	+2	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	1	4	-7	16
7	Twente	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Nijmegen	10	4	2	4	-5	14
9	Heerenveen	9	4	1	4	-2	13
10	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	1	5	-6	13
11	Cambuur	10	4	0	6	-7	12
12	Waalwijk	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Heracles	9	3	1	5	-4	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	0	4	+4	9
15	For Sittard	9	2	3	4	-8	9
16	Groningen	9	1	4	4	-7	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Zwolle	10	1	1	8	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Willem II	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	+2	9
8	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Twente	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Waalwijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-2	6
15	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	-1	12
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	-3	10
4	Feyenoord	5	3	0	2	+6	9
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Willem II	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-9	4
12	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
13	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Zwolle	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.