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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Vitesse
T S U S S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 6. · Go Ahead Eagles 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +30 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 9 7 0 2 +10 21
3 Utrecht 10 6 2 2 +10 20
4 Willem II 10 5 3 2 +2 18
5 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 +11 16
6 Vitesse 9 5 1 3 -6 16
7 Twente 10 4 3 3 +3 15
8 Nijmegen 10 4 2 4 -5 14
9 Heerenveen 9 4 1 4 -2 13
10 Cambuur 9 4 0 5 -6 12
11 Waalwijk 10 2 4 4 -2 10
12 Heracles 9 3 1 5 -4 10
13 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 1 5 -7 10
14 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 0 4 +4 9
15 For Sittard 9 2 3 4 -8 9
16 Groningen 9 1 4 4 -7 7
17 Sparta Rotterdam 10 1 4 5 -10 7
18 Zwolle 10 1 1 8 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Go Ahead Eagles
Loïs Openda ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
2′
1–0 L. Openda
3′
17′
🟨 Mats Deijl
Matúš Bero 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–1
53′
Iñigo Córdoba 1–1
L. Brouwers
Oussama Darfalou 🟨
61′
N. Frederiksen 🔁
↦ O. Darfalou
63′
63′
🔁 O. Heil
↦ P. Rommens
63′
🔁 M. Berden
↦ Cardona
H. Gong 🔁
↦ L. Openda
74′
J. von Moos 🔁
↦ Y. Gboho
74′
Sondre Tronstad 🟨
75′
84′
🔁 J. Mulenga
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
84′
🔁 G. Nauber
↦ M. Deijl
Jacob Rasmussen 🟨
89′
91′
L. Brouwers 1–2
93′
🔁 Y. Bourhane
↦ R. Oratmangoen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

3-5-2
1 M. Schubert G
2 E. Dasa M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
27 R. Yapi M
39 E. Cornelisse D
21 M. Bero M
8 S. Tronstad M
20 Y. Gboho M
9 O. Darfalou F
7 L. Openda F
Bench (10)
11 N. Frederiksen
17 H. Gong
19 J. von Moos
40 D. Huisman
22 T. Domgjoni
36 P. Vroegh
16 A. Oroz
48 N. van Haveren
18 T. Hájek
24 J. Houwen

Coach: T. Letsch

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
5 B. Kuipers D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl D
2 B. Lucassen M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
6 J. Idzes D
29 Cardona F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (9)
19 O. Heil
7 M. Berden
27 J. Mulenga
3 G. Nauber
24 Y. Bourhane
23 A. Noppert
22 Q. Dumay
26 J. Bakker
31 J. Schuurman

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,55
U
4,36
B ✓
5,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.