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Serie A
Referee: L Marinelli
Atalanta
S S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Udinese
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 6. · Udinese 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 9 8 1 0 +13 25
2 Napoli 8 8 0 0 +16 24
3 Inter 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Roma 8 5 0 3 +7 15
5 Lazio 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Atalanta 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Juventus 8 4 2 2 +2 14
8 Fiorentina 8 4 0 4 -2 12
9 Bologna 9 3 3 3 -4 12
10 Empoli 9 4 0 5 -4 12
11 Torino 9 3 2 4 +2 11
12 Sassuolo 9 3 2 4 +0 11
13 Udinese 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Sampdoria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
15 Verona 8 2 2 4 +0 8
16 Venezia 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Spezia 9 2 1 6 -11 7
18 Cagliari 8 1 3 4 -6 6
19 Genoa 9 1 3 5 -7 6
20 Salernitana 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Udinese
17′
🟨 Samir
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Malinovskyi
M. Pašalić
56′
58′
🟨 Ignacio Pussetto
L. Muriel 🔁
↦ D. Zapata
64′
A. Miranchuk 🔁
↦ J. Iličić
64′
64′
🔁 I. Success
↦ N. Molina
64′
🔁 T. Arslan
↦ J. Makengo
T. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ M. Pašalić
74′
Matteo Lovato 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 B. Soppy
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
76′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ I. Pussetto
Giuseppe Pezzella 🟨
78′
82′
🔁 F. Forestieri
↦ B. Nuytinck
G. Scalvini 🔁
↦ R. Malinovskyi
86′
94′
Beto 1–1
L. Samardžić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 J. Musso G
6 J. Palomino D
77 D. Zappacosta M
13 G. Pezzella M
66 M. Lovato D
72 J. Iličić F
15 M. de Roon D
11 R. Freuler M
88 M. Pašalić M
18 R. Malinovskyi F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (8)
9 L. Muriel
59 A. Miranchuk
7 T. Koopmeiners
42 G. Scalvini
31 F. Rossi
57 M. Sportiello
44 A. Oliveri
99 R. Piccoli

Coach: G. Gasperini

Udinese

5-4-1
1 M. Silvestri G
19 J. Stryger Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
13 D. Udogie D
23 I. Pussetto M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
9 Beto F
Bench (12)
7 I. Success
5 T. Arslan
93 B. Soppy
24 L. Samardžić
45 F. Forestieri
2 N. Pérez
8 M. Jajalo
20 D. Padelli
30 I. Nestorovski
87 S. De Maio
4 M. Zeegelaar
65 M. Carnelos

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,40
U ✓
4,99
B
7,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.