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Süper Lig
Referee: H Özkahya
Karagumruk
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Hatayspor
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 62%
56%
67%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 6. · Hatayspor 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 10 7 3 0 +11 24
2 Hatayspor 9 6 1 2 +11 19
3 Fenerbahce 9 6 1 2 +4 19
4 Besiktas 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Konyaspor 10 4 5 1 +5 17
6 Karagumruk 9 5 2 2 +4 17
7 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +2 17
8 Alanyaspor 9 5 2 2 +0 17
9 Altay 10 5 0 5 +0 15
10 Ad. Demirspor 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Gaziantep 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Yeni Malatyaspor 10 4 0 6 -6 12
13 Kayserispor 10 3 2 5 -4 11
14 Sivasspor 9 2 4 3 +2 10
15 Buyuksehyr 9 3 0 6 -1 9
16 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 -4 9
17 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -4 9
18 Goztep 10 2 2 6 -5 8
19 Kasimpasa 10 1 3 6 -6 6
20 Rizespor 10 1 1 8 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U ✓
3,63
B
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Özkahya · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.