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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Basel

U S S U S

2–0

Full-time

Lugano

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — Super League · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 52%

60%

44%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

56%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,4

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 21

9 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 1. · Lugano 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	10	6	4	0	+16	22
2	Young Boys	10	6	3	1	+17	21
3	Zurich	11	6	3	2	+6	21
4	Grasshoppers	11	3	5	3	+2	14
5	Lugano	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Servette	10	3	3	4	-5	12
7	Luzern	11	1	6	4	-5	9
8	St. Gallen	11	2	3	6	-11	9
9	Sion	10	2	3	5	-11	9
10	Lausanne	11	1	4	6	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Basel	5	3	2	0	+11	11
3	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Grasshoppers	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	Lugano	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Sion	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Servette	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	St. Gallen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Luzern	6	1	2	3	-2	5
10	Lausanne	5	1	2	2	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Young Boys	5	3	1	1	+11	10
3	Zurich	6	2	2	2	-2	8
4	Lugano	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Servette	5	1	2	2	-4	5
6	Luzern	5	0	4	1	-3	4
7	Grasshoppers	5	0	3	2	-3	3
8	St. Gallen	6	1	0	5	-10	3
9	Lausanne	6	0	2	4	-7	2
10	Sion	5	0	2	3	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.