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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Luzern
T T U U U
2–3
Full-time
Lugano
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Super League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Lugano 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 7 4 3 0 +13 15
2 Young Boys 7 4 2 1 +10 14
3 Zurich 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Servette 8 3 3 2 +2 12
5 Sion 7 2 3 2 -4 9
6 Lugano 6 2 2 2 +0 8
7 Grasshoppers 7 1 4 2 -1 7
8 St. Gallen 8 1 3 4 -7 6
9 Luzern 7 0 4 3 -6 4
10 Lausanne 8 0 4 4 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.