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Bundesliga

Referee: F Badstübner

Stuttgart

U T U S U

1–1

Full-time

Union Berlin

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

8 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 13. · Union Berlin 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	1	1	+25	22
2	Dortmund	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Freiburg	9	5	4	0	+8	19
4	Leverkusen	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Union Berlin	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	RB Leipzig	9	4	2	3	+11	14
7	Mainz	9	4	1	4	+3	13
8	FC Koln	9	3	4	2	-1	13
9	Wolfsburg	9	4	1	4	-3	13
10	Hertha	9	4	0	5	-10	12
11	Hoffenheim	9	3	2	4	+2	11
12	M'gladbach	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Stuttgart	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Ein Frankfurt	8	1	5	2	-3	8
15	Bochum	8	2	1	5	-11	7
16	Augsburg	9	1	3	5	-13	6
17	Bielefeld	9	0	5	4	-9	5
18	Greuther Furth	9	0	1	8	-18	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+16	12
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	+13	12
4	FC Koln	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Union Berlin	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
7	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	M'gladbach	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Hoffenheim	4	2	1	1	+5	7
10	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	+3	6
12	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Bochum	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Ein Frankfurt	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Bielefeld	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+9	11
2	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Wolfsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-10	6
7	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Hoffenheim	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-3	3
11	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-4	3
12	M'gladbach	5	1	0	4	-5	3
13	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-11	3
14	RB Leipzig	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Bielefeld	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Greuther Furth	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.