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Eredivisie
Referee: A Bos
Utrecht
T U T T U
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 30%
35%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
63%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 8. · Go Ahead Eagles 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 25 17 7 1 +33 58
2 Ajax 25 16 7 2 +45 55
3 AZ Alkmaar 25 16 5 4 +23 53
4 PSV Eindhoven 25 16 4 5 +36 52
5 Twente 22 12 6 4 +22 42
6 Sparta Rotterdam 22 12 6 4 +17 42
7 Waalwijk 24 8 8 8 +2 32
8 Utrecht 23 8 8 7 -3 32
9 Nijmegen 25 6 13 6 +7 31
10 For Sittard 26 8 5 13 -14 29
11 Heerenveen 23 7 6 10 -8 27
12 Go Ahead Eagles 24 6 8 10 -9 26
13 Volendam 26 7 5 14 -25 26
14 Vitesse 25 5 8 12 -16 23
15 FC Emmen 25 4 9 12 -20 21
16 Excelsior 25 6 2 17 -39 20
17 Groningen 25 4 5 16 -25 17
18 Cambuur 25 4 4 17 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Go Ahead Eagles
Ruben Kluivert 🟨
20′
Jens Toornstra 🟨
21′
33′
🟨 Bobby Adekanye
1–0 T. Douvikas
O. Boussaid
41′
45′
ℹ️ Isac Lidberg
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 1–1
48′
O. Edvardsen 1–1
58′
🔁 R. Fernandes
↦ O. Edvardsen
T. Booth 🔁
↦ Z. Labyad
61′
65′
🔁 W. Willumsson
↦ B. Adekanye
B. Ramselaar 🔁
↦ A. Descotte
72′
78′
🔁 José Fontán
↦ F. Oppegård
78′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ F. Stokkers
A. Younes 🔁
↦ O. Boussaid
83′
86′
🟨 Jamal Amofa
94′
W. Willumsson 1–2
José Fontán
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 V. Barkas G
17 S. Klaiber D
25 R. Kluivert D
14 R. Hendriks D
24 N. Viergever D
20 Z. Labyad M
18 J. Toornstra M
26 O. Boussaid M
22 S. van de Streek M
19 A. Descotte F
9 T. Douvikas F
Bench (11)
10 T. Booth
23 B. Ramselaar
11 A. Younes
16 F. de Keijzer
5 H. ter Avest
8 L. Brouwers
3 T. St. Jago
27 M. Sagnan
31 T. Nijhuis
30 N. Maeda
7 V. Jensen

Coach: M. Silberbauer

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
3 G. Nauber D
26 F. Oppegård D
11 B. Adekanye M
6 J. Idzes M
10 P. Rommens M
23 O. Edvardsen M
27 F. Stokkers F
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (11)
7 R. Fernandes
18 W. Willumsson
4 José Fontán
19 S. Sow
24 J. Markelo
33 F. Mattiello
17 Darío Serra
20 X. Blomme
22 E. Mulder
21 E. Llansana
40 L. Plogmann

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U
3,94
B ✓
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.