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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
3–0
Full-time
Magdeburg
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 71%
79%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 13. · Magdeburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heidenheim 25 14 8 3 +23 50
2 Darmstadt 24 14 7 3 +17 49
3 Hamburg 24 15 3 6 +16 48
4 Paderborn 24 12 4 8 +18 40
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 12 3 9 +8 39
6 Kaiserslautern 24 10 9 5 +7 39
7 St Pauli 24 10 8 6 +6 38
8 Karlsruhe 25 10 4 11 +1 34
9 Holstein Kiel 24 8 9 7 +1 33
10 Hannover 24 8 7 9 +1 31
11 Nurnberg 25 8 5 12 -15 29
12 Magdeburg 24 8 4 12 -11 28
13 Greuther Furth 24 6 9 9 -7 27
14 Bielefeld 25 7 4 14 -5 25
15 Hansa Rostock 24 7 4 13 -13 25
16 Regensburg 24 6 5 13 -16 23
17 Braunschweig 24 5 7 12 -14 22
18 Sandhausen 24 5 6 13 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Magdeburg
Damian Michalski 🟨
3′
22′
🔁 J. Ceka
↦ L. Castaignos
Lukas Petkov 🟨
23′
35′
🟨 Jason Ceka
37′
🔁 A. Condé
↦ C. Piccini
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Ito
↦ J. Ceka
J. Green 🔁
↦ T. Raschl
58′
1–0 J. Green
64′
69′
🟨 Barış Atik
1–1 D. Heber
own goal
69′
70′
🔁 T. Sechelmann
↦ S. Gnaka
71′
🔁 L. Bell Bell
↦ C. Krempicki
2–1 L. Petkov
75′
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ R. Ache
79′
M. Dietz 🔁
↦ O. Haddadi
85′
S. Raebiger 🔁
↦ L. Petkov
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
1 A. Linde G
5 O. Haddadi D
4 D. Michalski D
27 L. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
20 T. Raschl M
13 M. Christiansen M
24 M. John M
16 L. Petkov F
39 R. Ache F
10 B. Hrgota F
Bench (8)
37 J. Green
11 D. Abiama
33 M. Dietz
6 S. Raebiger
25 L. Schaffran
22 S. Griesbeck
9 Afimico Pululu
30 A. Sieb

Coach: A. Zorniger

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
7 H. Bockhorn D
2 C. Piccini D
15 D. Heber D
11 M. El Hankouri D
13 C. Krempicki M
6 D. Elfadli M
25 S. Gnaka M
8 M. Kwarteng F
3 L. Castaignos F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
10 J. Ceka
29 A. Condé
37 T. Ito
22 T. Sechelmann
19 L. Bell Bell
5 J. Lawrence
28 T. Boss
24 A. Bittroff
31 M. Ullmann

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,84
B
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.