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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Motherwell
T S S U S
2–4
Full-time
Rangers
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,3
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
29%
79%
Points per game
1,1
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
54%
75%
Both score Ø 56%
57%
54%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,4
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

23% Possession 77%
3 Shots 28
2 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Rangers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 26 1 1 +70 79
2 Rangers 28 22 4 2 +43 70
3 Hearts 28 13 6 9 +9 45
4 Hibernian 28 12 4 12 +1 40
5 Aberdeen 28 12 2 14 -9 38
6 St Mirren 28 10 7 11 -11 37
7 Livingston 28 10 6 12 -14 36
8 ST Johnstone 28 9 4 15 -15 31
9 Motherwell 28 8 6 14 -6 30
10 Ross County 28 6 6 16 -17 24
11 Kilmarnock 28 6 6 16 -27 24
12 Dundee United 28 5 6 17 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Rangers
1–0 K. van Veen
M. Johnston
3′
Dan Casey 🟨
20′
Callum Slattery 🟨
22′
23′
J. Tavernier 1–1
45′
🟨 Ryan Jack
Half-time 1–2
47′
F. Sakala 1–2
J. Tavernier
B. Mugabi 🔁
↦ P. McGinn
53′
2–2 B. Mugabi
59′
62′
T. Cantwell 2–3
65′
🔁 A. Morelos
↦ A. Čolak
65′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ F. Sakala
69′
M. Tillman 2–4
A. Morelos
M. Mandron 🔁
↦ D. Cornelius
70′
R. Tierney 🔁
↦ S. Goss
71′
71′
🔁 S. Arfield
↦ R. Yılmaz
Callum Slattery 🟨
76′
Callum Slattery 🟥
76′
78′
🔁 J. Souttar
↦ J. Lundstram
78′
🔁 G. Kamara
↦ T. Cantwell
S. Blaney 🔁
↦ K. van Veen
84′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Motherwell

5-3-2
1 L. Kelly G
22 M. Johnston D
16 P. McGinn D
66 C. Butcher D
52 D. Casey D
24 J. Furlong D
8 C. Slattery M
27 S. Goss M
18 D. Cornelius M
9 K. van Veen F
7 B. Spittal F
Bench (9)
5 B. Mugabi
21 M. Mandron
26 R. Tierney
20 S. Blaney
17 S. McKinstry
2 S. O'Donnell
38 L. Miller
4 R. Lamie
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Rangers

4-3-1-2
1 A. McGregor G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
26 B. Davies D
3 R. Yılmaz D
13 T. Cantwell M
4 J. Lundstram M
8 R. Jack M
14 R. Kent M
9 A. Čolak F
30 F. Sakala F
Bench (9)
20 A. Morelos
71 M. Tillman
37 S. Arfield
16 J. Souttar
18 G. Kamara
44 A. Devine
7 I. Hagi
33 J. McLaughlin
23 S. Wright

Coach: M. Beale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,64
U
5,02
B ✓
1,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.