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2. Bundesliga

Referee: B Brand

Hamburg

U S U S T

0–0

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 48%

63%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

54%

67%

Both score Ø 69%

54%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

1,9

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

22 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 1

10 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

17 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Holstein Kiel 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	25	14	8	3	+23	50
2	Darmstadt	24	14	7	3	+17	49
3	Hamburg	24	15	3	6	+16	48
4	Paderborn	24	12	4	8	+18	40
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	12	3	9	+8	39
6	Kaiserslautern	24	10	9	5	+7	39
7	St Pauli	24	10	8	6	+6	38
8	Karlsruhe	25	10	4	11	+1	34
9	Holstein Kiel	24	8	9	7	+1	33
10	Hannover	24	8	7	9	+1	31
11	Nurnberg	25	8	5	12	-15	29
12	Magdeburg	24	8	4	12	-11	28
13	Greuther Furth	24	6	9	9	-7	27
14	Bielefeld	25	7	4	14	-5	25
15	Hansa Rostock	24	7	4	13	-13	25
16	Regensburg	24	6	5	13	-16	23
17	Braunschweig	24	5	7	12	-14	22
18	Sandhausen	24	5	6	13	-17	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	13	10	3	0	+22	33
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	8	2	2	+14	26
3	Darmstadt	12	7	5	0	+12	26
4	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+12	26
5	Hamburg	12	8	1	3	+11	25
6	Paderborn	12	8	0	4	+18	24
7	Greuther Furth	12	5	6	1	+3	21
8	Kaiserslautern	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Karlsruhe	13	6	2	5	+2	20
10	Nurnberg	12	6	1	5	+0	19
11	Hannover	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	Holstein Kiel	12	4	4	4	+3	16
13	Bielefeld	13	5	1	7	+1	16
14	Braunschweig	12	4	3	5	+0	15
15	Regensburg	12	3	5	4	-7	14
16	Magdeburg	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Sandhausen	11	3	3	5	-7	12
18	Hansa Rostock	12	3	1	8	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	12	7	2	3	+5	23
2	Darmstadt	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Kaiserslautern	12	5	4	3	+4	19
4	Heidenheim	12	4	5	3	+1	17
5	Holstein Kiel	12	4	5	3	-2	17
6	Paderborn	12	4	4	4	+0	16
7	Magdeburg	12	5	1	6	-5	16
8	Hansa Rostock	12	4	3	5	-5	15
9	Karlsruhe	12	4	2	6	-1	14
10	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-1	13
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	1	7	-6	13
12	St Pauli	12	3	3	6	-6	12
13	Nurnberg	13	2	4	7	-15	10
14	Bielefeld	12	2	3	7	-6	9
15	Regensburg	12	3	0	9	-9	9
16	Sandhausen	13	2	3	8	-10	9
17	Braunschweig	12	1	4	7	-14	7
18	Greuther Furth	12	1	3	8	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.