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Conference League
Referee: T Bognár
Club Brugge
S T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Lugano
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,56 xG 0,28
52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -23 Lugano – Club Brugge 1–3

Match report

Club Brugge Lugano
41′
🟨 Martim Marques
43′
🟨 Mohamed Haj Mahmoud
Half-time 0–0
Ferran Jutglà 🔁
↦ A. Skov Olsen
46′
46′
🔁 J. Espinoza
↦ Martim Marques
Igor Thiago 🟨
47′
1–0 Thiago ⚽
62′
Hans Vanaken 🟨
63′
66′
🟨 Renato Steffen
71′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ H. Mahmoud
72′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ K. Hajrizi
74′
🟨 Jonathan Sabbatini
B. Meijer 🔁
↦ Thiago
77′
D. Odoi 🔁
↦ T. Buchanan
89′
É. Balanta 🔁
↦ H. Vetlesen
90′
90′
🔁 A. El Wafi
↦ U. Bislimi
M. Skóraś 🔁
↦ P. Zinckernagel
93′
95′
🟨 Ayman El Wafi
2–0 H. Vanaken ⚽
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
17 T. Buchanan D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
10 H. Vetlesen M
15 R. Onyedika M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
77 P. Zinckernagel M
99 Thiago F
Bench (10)
9 Ferran Jutglà
14 B. Meijer
6 D. Odoi
8 M. Skóraś
39 É. Balanta
27 C. Nielsen
29 N. Jackers
62 S. Homma
28 D. Boyata
11 Víctor Barberá

Coach: R. Deila

Lugano

3-1-4-2
1 A. Saipi G
17 L. Mai D
4 K. Hajrizi D
5 A. Hajdari D
14 J. Sabbatini M
34 A. Arigoni M
29 H. Mahmoud M
25 U. Bislimi M
26 Martim Marques M
11 R. Steffen F
21 Y. Cimignani F
Bench (8)
6 J. Espinoza
27 B. Babic
7 R. Macek
22 A. El Wafi
41 N. De Queiroz
90 S. Deana
45 N. Spinelli
99 D. Mina

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Bognár · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.