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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Servette

S U S S S

4–1

Full-time

Basel

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 32%

46%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

46%

83%

Both score Ø 65%

62%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,12 xG 1,06

59% Possession 41%

24 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Servette 4. · Basel 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	8	4	1	+19	+2.0	28
2	St. Gallen	14	8	3	3	+12	+7.4	27
3	Zurich	13	6	6	1	+11	-1.7	24
4	Servette	13	6	4	3	+3	+5.7	22
5	Luzern	14	6	3	5	-5	+0.3	21
6	Yverdon	14	4	5	5	-6	-4.2	17
7	Lausanne	14	4	4	6	+0	+1.9	16
8	Lugano	12	5	1	6	+0	+3.4	16
9	Winterthur	14	4	4	6	-6	+0.1	16
10	Grasshoppers	14	4	2	8	-3	-3.1	14
11	Lausanne Ouchy	13	2	4	7	-14	-4.9	10
12	Basel	12	2	2	8	-11	-6.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	7	7	0	0	+12	+2.6	21
2	Young Boys	6	5	1	0	+15	+2.3	16
3	Luzern	7	5	1	1	+4	+2.5	16
4	Zurich	7	4	2	1	+5	-2.5	14
5	Yverdon	7	3	3	1	+2	+0.2	12
6	Lausanne	7	3	2	2	+3	+1.9	11
7	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.3	11
8	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.3	10
9	Grasshoppers	7	3	1	3	+2	-1.5	10
10	Servette	6	2	3	1	+2	+0.7	9
11	Basel	7	2	2	3	-1	-3.8	8
12	Lausanne Ouchy	7	1	3	3	-8	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.0	13
2	Young Boys	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.3	12
3	Zurich	6	2	4	0	+6	+0.8	10
4	St. Gallen	7	1	3	3	+0	+4.8	6
5	Lugano	7	2	0	5	-6	+1.1	6
6	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-3	+0.0	5
7	Winterthur	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
8	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	-8	-4.4	5
9	Luzern	7	1	2	4	-9	-2.2	5
10	Grasshoppers	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.6	4
11	Lausanne Ouchy	6	1	1	4	-6	-3.2	4
12	Basel	5	0	0	5	-10	-3.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.