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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Ternana
S T T U S
0–0
Full-time
Lecco
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Lecco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
3,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,2
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 22%
24%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
60%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
7 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 17. · Lecco 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 25 16 6 3 +23 54
2 Cremonese 26 13 8 5 +16 47
3 Palermo 26 13 7 6 +16 46
4 Venezia 25 13 6 6 +14 45
5 Como 25 13 6 6 +5 45
6 Catanzaro 26 12 6 8 +5 42
7 Cittadella 26 10 6 10 -2 36
8 Brescia 26 8 10 8 +1 34
9 Modena 25 8 10 7 -3 34
10 Bari 26 7 12 7 -3 33
11 Sampdoria 26 9 6 11 -6 33
12 Cosenza 26 8 8 10 +1 32
13 Sudtirol 26 8 7 11 -3 31
14 Reggiana 26 6 13 7 -3 31
15 Pisa 25 7 9 9 -1 30
16 Ascoli 26 6 8 12 -6 26
17 Ternana 25 6 7 12 -4 25
18 Spezia 25 5 10 10 -13 25
19 FeralpiSalo 26 5 6 15 -15 21
20 Lecco 25 5 5 15 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Dec -23 Lecco – Ternana 2–3

Match report

Ternana Lecco
Lorenzo Amatucci 🟨
9′
13′
🟨 Mario Ierardi
Half-time 0–0
A. Mărginean 🔁
↦ K. de Boer
59′
A. Raimondo 🔁
↦ A. Favilli
59′
Iulius Marginean 🟨
67′
F. Dionisi 🔁
↦ G. Luperini
69′
69′
🔁 N. Buso
↦ A. Caporale
69′
🔁 G. Beretta
↦ A. Novakovich
82′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ V. Parigini
82′
🔁 M. Frigerio
↦ D. Degli Innocenti
R. Zoia 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
86′
F. Distefano 🔁
↦ F. Carboni
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ternana

3-1-4-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
32 F. Sgarbi D
19 M. Capuano D
44 L. Lucchesi D
72 L. Amatucci M
15 T. Casasola M
71 G. Luperini M
8 K. de Boer M
79 F. Carboni M
17 A. Favilli F
10 G. Pereiro F
Bench (12)
73 A. Mărginean
9 A. Raimondo
65 F. Dionisi
3 R. Zoia
28 F. Distefano
6 C. Dalle Mura
5 G. Boloca
66 N. Pyyhtiä
22 D. Franchi
4 F. Sørensen
16 G. Faticanti
25 J. Łabojko

Coach: R. Breda

Lecco

4-3-3
22 U. Saracco G
44 D. Guglielmotti D
68 M. Ierardi D
2 V. Celjak D
17 A. Caporale D
5 D. Degli Innocenti M
96 G. Galli M
29 M. Listkowski M
32 F. Lepore F
90 A. Novakovich F
14 V. Parigini F
Bench (10)
99 N. Buso
81 G. Beretta
10 E. Salcedo
26 M. Frigerio
4 Z. Smajlović
6 A. Bianconi
97 F. Cecchini
1 R. Melgrati
11 H. Salomaa
83 M. Lemmens

Coach: A. Aglietti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U ✓
3,43
B
3,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.