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Süper Lig

Referee: C Aydın

Fenerbahce

S S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 62%

81%

42%

Points per game

2,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

62%

73%

Both score Ø 64%

54%

73%

Average goals

3,4

3,7

Scored

2,6

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,44 xG 0,81

65% Possession 35%

17 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Kasimpasa 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	26	22	3	1	+41	+35.0	69
2	Fenerbahce	26	21	4	1	+47	+46.2	67
3	Trabzonspor	26	13	4	9	+9	+0.3	43
4	Besiktas	26	13	4	9	+6	+9.6	43
5	Kasimpasa	26	11	6	9	-1	-7.8	39
6	Kayserispor	27	10	8	9	-3	-8.5	38
7	Buyuksehyr	27	10	6	11	+2	-1.0	36
8	Rizespor	27	10	6	11	-12	-5.8	36
9	Antalyaspor	26	8	11	7	+2	+2.0	35
10	Sivasspor	26	8	10	8	-6	-6.0	34
11	Samsunspor	27	9	6	12	-3	+3.4	33
12	Ad. Demirspor	26	7	11	8	+4	-0.9	32
13	Ankaragücü	27	6	11	10	-3	-4.0	29
14	Hatayspor	27	6	11	10	-5	-2.4	29
15	Alanyaspor	26	6	11	9	-8	+0.1	29
16	Karagumruk	26	7	7	12	+1	-8.2	28
17	Gaziantep	27	7	7	13	-9	-9.7	28
18	Konyaspor	27	6	10	11	-13	-12.6	28
19	Pendikspor	26	6	8	12	-20	-10.0	26
20	İstanbulspor	26	3	6	17	-29	-19.7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	13	0	0	+23	+23.5	39
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	3	1	+23	+24.8	30
3	Rizespor	14	8	3	3	+5	+4.0	27
4	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+9	+6.7	26
5	Samsunspor	14	8	2	4	+8	+4.4	26
6	Ad. Demirspor	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
7	Kayserispor	14	6	5	3	+5	+1.1	23
8	Karagumruk	13	6	4	3	+12	-0.1	22
9	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+3	+1.9	22
10	Antalyaspor	14	5	7	2	+2	+0.6	22
11	Kasimpasa	13	6	3	4	+0	-4.2	21
12	Buyuksehyr	13	6	2	5	+5	+0.6	20
13	Hatayspor	13	4	7	2	+4	-0.3	19
14	Konyaspor	13	5	3	5	+3	+0.9	18
15	Alanyaspor	13	4	6	3	+1	+3.4	18
16	Ankaragücü	14	4	6	4	+0	+1.3	18
17	Sivasspor	12	3	7	2	+0	+1.3	16
18	Pendikspor	13	4	3	6	-8	-6.9	15
19	Gaziantep	14	3	5	6	-6	-6.0	14
20	İstanbulspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-11.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	12	1	0	+24	+21.4	37
2	Galatasaray	13	9	3	1	+18	+11.5	30
3	Trabzonspor	14	6	3	5	+6	-1.6	21
4	Kasimpasa	13	5	3	5	-1	-3.6	18
5	Sivasspor	14	5	3	6	-6	-7.3	18
6	Besiktas	13	5	2	6	-3	+2.9	17
7	Buyuksehyr	14	4	4	6	-3	-1.6	16
8	Kayserispor	13	4	3	6	-8	-9.6	15
9	Gaziantep	13	4	2	7	-3	-3.7	14
10	Antalyaspor	12	3	4	5	+0	+1.4	13
11	Ankaragücü	13	2	5	6	-3	-5.3	11
12	Alanyaspor	13	2	5	6	-9	-3.2	11
13	Pendikspor	13	2	5	6	-12	-3.1	11
14	Hatayspor	14	2	4	8	-9	-2.1	10
15	Konyaspor	14	1	7	6	-16	-13.5	10
16	Rizespor	13	2	3	8	-17	-9.7	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	13	0	8	5	-7	-5.7	8
18	Samsunspor	13	1	4	8	-11	-1.0	7
19	Karagumruk	13	1	3	9	-11	-8.1	6
20	İstanbulspor	13	1	3	9	-15	-8.6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.