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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Stuttgart
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
FC Koln
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
68%
14%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
77%
32%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
45%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,30 xG 0,70
75% Possession 25%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 3. · FC Koln 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leverkusen 23 19 4 0 +43 +26.1 61
2 Bayern Munich 22 16 2 4 +36 +40.4 50
3 Stuttgart 22 15 1 6 +23 +24.4 46
4 Dortmund 22 11 8 3 +17 +8.7 41
5 RB Leipzig 22 12 4 6 +20 +16.4 40
6 Ein Frankfurt 22 8 9 5 +6 -4.6 33
7 Werder Bremen 22 8 5 9 -3 -6.8 29
8 Freiburg 22 8 5 9 -11 -0.0 29
9 Hoffenheim 22 7 6 9 -3 -1.3 27
10 Heidenheim 22 7 6 9 -7 -19.0 27
11 Bochum 22 5 10 7 -15 -14.1 25
12 Wolfsburg 22 6 6 10 -8 -2.8 24
13 Union Berlin 22 7 3 12 -14 -7.6 24
14 Augsburg 22 5 8 9 -9 -6.4 23
15 M'gladbach 22 5 7 10 -7 -7.0 22
16 FC Koln 22 3 7 12 -21 -22.4 16
17 Mainz 23 2 9 12 -19 -0.8 15
18 Darmstadt 22 2 6 14 -28 -23.0 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart FC Koln
Anthony Rouault 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Millot
C. Führich
53′
60′
🔁 L. Maina
↦ J. Diehl
60′
🔁 F. Alidou
↦ D. Huseinbašić
62′
E. Martel 1–1
L. Maina
S. Katompa Mvumpa 🔁
↦ Jeong Woo-Yeong
65′
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ A. Rouault
65′
Mahmoud Dahoud 🔁
↦ A. Karazor
67′
72′
🔁 S. Adamyan
↦ F. Kainz
J. Leweling 🔁
↦ E. Millot
86′
93′
🔁 S. Tigges
↦ J. Thielmann
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
1 F. Bredlow G
4 J. Vagnoman D
29 A. Rouault D
2 W. Anton D
21 H. Ito D
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
10 Jeong Woo-Yeong M
8 E. Millot M
27 C. Führich M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (9)
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa
7 M. Mittelstädt
5 Mahmoud Dahoud
18 J. Leweling
25 L. Egloff
17 G. Haraguchi
20 L. Stergiou
45 A. Chase
41 D. Seimen

Coach: S. Hoeneß

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schwäbe G
18 R. Carstensen D
15 L. Kilian D
24 J. Chabot D
35 M. Finkgräfe D
6 E. Martel M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
7 D. Ljubičić M
11 F. Kainz M
45 J. Diehl M
29 J. Thielmann F
Bench (9)
37 L. Maina
40 F. Alidou
23 S. Adamyan
21 S. Tigges
20 P. Pentke
3 D. Heintz
17 L. Paqarada
2 B. Schmitz
22 J. Christensen

Coach: T. Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,32
U ✓
5,63
B
9,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.