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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muniz Ruiz
Barcelona
S S U S U
4–0
Full-time
Getafe
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
64%
32%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
68%
52%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,17 xG 0,49
68% Possession 32%
17 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
5 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Getafe 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 25 19 5 1 +37 +23.3 62
2 Girona 25 17 5 3 +22 +7.0 56
3 Barcelona 25 16 6 3 +18 +28.6 54
4 Ath Madrid 25 16 3 6 +24 +16.0 51
5 Ath Bilbao 25 14 7 4 +22 +16.7 49
6 Sociedad 26 10 10 6 +9 +4.6 40
7 Betis 25 9 12 4 +3 -2.2 39
8 Valencia 25 10 6 9 +0 -1.6 36
9 Las Palmas 25 10 5 10 +0 -15.7 35
10 Getafe 25 8 10 7 -1 -5.4 34
11 Osasuna 25 9 5 11 -7 -4.3 32
12 Villarreal 26 7 8 11 -10 -5.5 29
13 Alaves 25 7 7 11 -7 +3.2 28
14 Vallecano 25 5 10 10 -11 -2.1 25
15 Sevilla 25 5 9 11 -7 -11.8 24
16 Mallorca 25 4 11 10 -11 -6.5 23
17 Celta 25 4 8 13 -10 -4.8 20
18 Cadiz 25 2 11 12 -20 -16.8 17
19 Granada 25 2 8 15 -22 -13.2 14
20 Almeria 25 0 8 17 -29 -9.5 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Getafe
1–0 Raphinha
Jules Koundé
20′
İlkay Gündoğan 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Omar Alderete
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 José Ángel Carmona
↦ Juan Iglesias
48′
🟨 Djené
50′
🟨 Diego Rico
2–0 João Félix
Andreas Christensen
53′
3–0 Frenkie de Jong
Raphinha
61′
Fermín López 🔁
↦ João Félix
63′
67′
🔁 Jaime Mata
↦ Nemanja Maksimović
67′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ Mason Greenwood
68′
🔁 Carles Aleñá
↦ Djené
Oriol Romeu 🔁
↦ Andreas Christensen
77′
Vitor Roque 🔁
↦ Raphinha
77′
77′
🔁 Yellu Santiago
↦ Ilaix Moriba
Pedri 🔁
↦ İlkay Gündoğan
83′
Hector Fort 🔁
↦ João Cancelo
84′
90′
🟨 Yellu Santiago
4–0 Fermín López
91′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
23 Jules Koundé D
4 Ronald Araújo D
33 Pau Cubarsí D
2 João Cancelo D
21 Frenkie de Jong M
15 Andreas Christensen M
22 İlkay Gündoğan M
11 Raphinha F
9 Robert Lewandowski F
14 João Félix F
Bench (11)
16 Fermín López
18 Oriol Romeu
19 Vitor Roque
8 Pedri
39 Hector Fort
31 Diego Kochen
13 Iñaki Peña
20 Sergi Roberto
5 Iñigo Martínez
27 Lamine Yamal
38 Marc Guiu

Coach: Xavi

Getafe

4-5-1
13 David Soria G
21 Juan Iglesias D
4 Gastón Álvarez D
15 Omar Alderete D
2 Djené D
12 Mason Greenwood M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
5 Luis Milla M
24 Ilaix Moriba M
16 Diego Rico M
19 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (10)
18 José Ángel Carmona
7 Jaime Mata
9 Óscar Rodríguez
11 Carles Aleñá
25 Yellu Santiago
35 Jorge Benito
1 Daniel Fuzato
3 Fabrizio Angileri
6 Domingos Duarte
14 Juanmi Latasa

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,97
B
7,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Muniz Ruiz · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.