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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

Zurich

U U T S T

1–1

Full-time

Luzern

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 68%

75%

60%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

80%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,25 xG 1,52

59% Possession 41%

7 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 3. · Luzern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	6	4	0	2	-3	-1.4	12
2	Basel	6	3	1	2	+9	+3.9	10
3	Zurich	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.7	10
4	Sion	6	3	1	2	+4	+2.9	10
5	Luzern	5	3	1	1	+4	-0.6	10
6	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+5	-0.8	9
7	Lugano	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.0	9
8	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.4	5
9	Grasshoppers	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.9	4
10	Lausanne	5	1	1	3	-6	+1.5	4
11	Winterthur	6	1	1	4	-7	-4.7	4
12	Young Boys	6	0	3	3	-7	-3.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sion	3	2	1	0	+6	+4.4	7
2	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
3	Zurich	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.3	6
4	Luzern	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.4	6
5	Lugano	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.4	6
6	Servette	3	2	0	1	-3	-2.0	6
7	Winterthur	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
8	Grasshoppers	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.7	4
9	Yverdon	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.9	4
10	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.3	3
11	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.5	3
12	Young Boys	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	4	2	1	1	+8	+1.6	7
2	Servette	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.6	6
3	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
4	Luzern	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.1	4
5	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
6	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
7	Sion	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.5	3
8	Yverdon	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.5	1
9	Young Boys	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.2	1
10	Lausanne	3	0	1	2	-6	-0.0	1
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0
12	Winterthur	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.