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Ligue 2
Ajaccio
T T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Toulouse
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 5
27 Free kicks against 10
6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ajaccio 19. · Toulouse 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 6 4 1 1 +6 13
2 Sochaux 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Clermont 7 3 3 1 +6 12
4 Grenoble 6 4 0 2 +5 12
5 Caen 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Niort 6 3 2 1 +1 11
7 Troyes 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Dunkerque 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Valenciennes 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Auxerre 6 3 0 3 +1 9
11 Le Havre 6 3 0 3 -2 9
12 Rodez 6 2 2 2 -4 8
13 Chateauroux 6 2 1 3 +0 7
14 Guingamp 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Toulouse 6 1 3 2 -1 6
16 Nancy 6 1 2 3 -1 5
17 Amiens 6 1 2 3 -2 5
18 Chambly 7 1 2 4 -7 5
19 Ajaccio 6 1 1 4 -7 4
20 Pau FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,08
B ✓
3,39
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.