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Serie A

Referee: M Mariani

Inter

S S S S U

1–2

Full-time

Milan

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,8

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+2,2

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,3

2,3

Scored

3,3

2,3

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 5. · Milan 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Verona	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Benevento	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Bologna	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Spezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Parma	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Parma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Lazio	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+2	6
2	Inter	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roma	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.