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Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

Mainz

S T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Leverkusen

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

1,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

3,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%

5 Shots 9

0 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 2

5 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 17. · Leverkusen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Augsburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Werder Bremen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Bielefeld	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	M'gladbach	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Hertha	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Leverkusen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Wolfsburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-9	0
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
9	Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bielefeld	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Bayern Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.