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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Augsburg
U T S S U
0–2
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%
6 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
5 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 2. · RB Leipzig 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Augsburg 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Bayern Munich 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +5 6
6 Hoffenheim 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Werder Bremen 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Stuttgart 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Union Berlin 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Bielefeld 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 -3 4
13 Hertha 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Leverkusen 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Wolfsburg 3 0 3 0 +0 3
16 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 -4 0
17 Mainz 3 0 0 3 -9 0
18 Schalke 04 3 0 0 3 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg RB Leipzig
45′
Angeliño 0–1
Daniel Olmo
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 V. Orban
↦ L. Klostermann
C. Gruezo 🔁
↦ T. Strobl
54′
R. Vargas 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
54′
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
54′
60′
🟨 Dayot Upamecano
66′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ E. Forsberg
66′
Y. Poulsen 0–2
Daniel Olmo
M. Richter 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
75′
79′
🔁 Hwang Hee-Chan
↦ Daniel Olmo
90′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ C. Nkunku
90′
🔁 J. Kluivert
↦ Angeliño
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
32 R. Framberger D
3 M. Pedersen D
19 F. Uduokhai D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn M
33 T. Strobl M
8 R. Khedira M
24 F. Jensen F
11 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
25 C. Gruezo
16 R. Vargas
7 F. Niederlechner
23 M. Richter
5 M. Suchý
36 R. Oxford
2 R. Gumny
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
40 T. Koubek

Coach: H. Herrlich

RB Leipzig

3-4-3
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
16 L. Klostermann D
39 B. Henrichs M
3 Angeliño M
22 N. Mukiele M
5 D. Upamecano D
18 C. Nkunku F
25 Daniel Olmo F
14 T. Adams M
10 E. Forsberg F
Bench (9)
4 V. Orban
9 Y. Poulsen
11 Hwang Hee-Chan
19 A. Sørloth
21 J. Kluivert
13 P. Tschauner
44 K. Kampl
6 I. Konaté
20 L. Samardžić

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,76
U
4,52
B ✓
1,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.