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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

RB Leipzig

U S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Freiburg

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · Freiburg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	Dortmund	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Leverkusen	6	3	3	0	+5	12
5	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+1	11
6	Augsburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Werder Bremen	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Stuttgart	6	2	3	1	+4	9
9	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+4	9
10	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	3	1	-2	9
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	5	0	+1	8
12	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Freiburg	6	1	3	2	-5	6
14	Hertha	6	1	1	4	-3	4
15	Bielefeld	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	FC Koln	7	0	3	4	-5	3
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-17	2
18	Mainz	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Augsburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	M'gladbach	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Freiburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Schalke 04	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Hertha	3	1	0	2	+1	3
14	Wolfsburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	FC Koln	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-8	0
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.