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Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

Freiburg

U S S S S

5–0

Full-time

FC Koln

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

36%

14%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 68%

71%

64%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 9. · FC Koln 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	10	3	2	+22	33
2	RB Leipzig	14	9	4	1	+16	31
3	Leverkusen	14	8	4	2	+15	28
4	Dortmund	14	8	1	5	+10	25
5	Union Berlin	14	6	6	2	+11	24
6	Wolfsburg	14	6	6	2	+5	24
7	M'gladbach	15	6	6	3	+4	24
8	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	8	2	+0	20
9	Freiburg	14	5	5	4	-1	20
10	Augsburg	14	5	4	5	-3	19
11	Stuttgart	14	4	6	4	+5	18
12	Hertha	14	4	4	6	-1	16
13	Hoffenheim	14	4	3	7	-4	15
14	Werder Bremen	14	3	5	6	-7	14
15	FC Koln	14	2	5	7	-9	11
16	Bielefeld	14	3	1	10	-15	10
17	Mainz	14	1	3	10	-17	6
18	Schalke 04	14	0	4	10	-31	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	Wolfsburg	7	5	2	0	+6	17
4	M'gladbach	8	3	4	1	+4	13
5	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+8	12
6	Dortmund	7	4	0	3	+6	12
7	Leverkusen	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	5	0	+2	11
9	Freiburg	7	2	3	2	+1	9
10	Hertha	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Hoffenheim	7	2	1	4	-1	7
13	Bielefeld	7	2	0	5	-6	6
14	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-6	5
15	Stuttgart	7	0	4	3	-4	4
16	Mainz	7	0	2	5	-7	2
17	FC Koln	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+4	16
3	Stuttgart	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	RB Leipzig	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	M'gladbach	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	FC Koln	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	3	2	-2	9
13	Hertha	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Hoffenheim	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Wolfsburg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Bielefeld	7	1	1	5	-9	4
17	Mainz	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.