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Premier League

Referee: J Brooks

Bournemouth

S U U S U

0–1

Full-time

Southampton

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

20%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 11. · Southampton 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+14	27
2	Man City	10	7	2	1	+23	23
3	Tottenham	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Chelsea	9	6	1	2	+5	19
5	Man United	9	5	1	3	-2	16
6	Newcastle	10	3	6	1	+8	15
7	Brighton	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Liverpool	9	3	4	2	+9	13
9	Brentford	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Crystal Palace	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Bournemouth	10	3	4	3	-12	13
12	Fulham	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	West Ham	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Everton	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Leeds	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Aston Villa	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Wolves	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Southampton	10	2	2	6	-9	8
19	Nott'm Forest	11	1	3	7	-16	6
20	Leicester	10	1	2	7	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	+19	15
2	Tottenham	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Arsenal	5	5	0	0	+7	15
4	Liverpool	5	3	2	0	+11	11
5	Brentford	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	Chelsea	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Newcastle	5	2	3	0	+6	9
9	Brighton	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Leeds	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Bournemouth	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Fulham	5	2	2	1	-1	8
13	Wolves	5	2	2	1	-1	8
14	Man United	4	2	1	1	+2	7
15	West Ham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Aston Villa	5	2	1	2	-1	7
17	Leicester	5	1	2	2	+2	5
18	Southampton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	Everton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
20	Nott'm Forest	5	1	1	3	-3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+7	12
2	Chelsea	5	3	0	2	+0	9
3	Man United	5	3	0	2	-4	9
4	Man City	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Brighton	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Newcastle	5	1	3	1	+2	6
8	Everton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Bournemouth	5	1	2	2	-12	5
10	West Ham	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Fulham	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Crystal Palace	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Brentford	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Southampton	5	1	0	4	-8	3
15	Liverpool	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Aston Villa	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Nott'm Forest	6	0	2	4	-13	2
18	Leeds	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Wolves	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Leicester	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.