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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ekberg

Varberg

S T U T S

0–3

Full-time

Elfsborg

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 31%

27%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

42%

62%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varberg 13. · Elfsborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	26	15	9	2	+26	54
2	Hammarby	26	14	7	5	+30	49
3	Djurgarden	26	14	6	6	+25	48
4	Kalmar	26	14	5	7	+13	47
5	AIK	26	13	8	5	+11	47
6	Malmo FF	26	12	6	8	+9	42
7	Goteborg	26	12	3	11	+5	39
8	Elfsborg	26	9	10	7	+12	37
9	Mjallby	26	8	10	8	-4	34
10	Varnamo	26	8	8	10	-11	32
11	Sirius	26	8	6	12	-11	30
12	Norrkoping	26	7	8	11	-3	29
13	Varberg	26	7	7	12	-18	28
14	Degerfors	26	5	8	13	-20	23
15	Helsingborg	26	4	5	17	-22	17
16	Sundsvall	26	4	2	20	-42	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	13	10	1	2	+24	31
2	Kalmar	13	9	2	2	+10	29
3	Hammarby	13	8	4	1	+22	28
4	AIK	13	8	4	1	+12	28
5	Hacken	13	8	3	2	+16	27
6	Malmo FF	13	8	3	2	+13	27
7	Elfsborg	13	6	5	2	+10	23
8	Goteborg	13	6	3	4	+4	21
9	Varnamo	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Sirius	13	6	1	6	+1	19
11	Mjallby	13	4	6	3	-1	18
12	Degerfors	13	4	5	4	-3	17
13	Varberg	13	4	5	4	-4	17
14	Norrkoping	13	4	4	5	+3	16
15	Sundsvall	13	4	0	9	-16	12
16	Helsingborg	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	13	7	6	0	+10	27
2	Hammarby	13	6	3	4	+8	21
3	AIK	13	5	4	4	-1	19
4	Kalmar	13	5	3	5	+3	18
5	Goteborg	13	6	0	7	+1	18
6	Djurgarden	13	4	5	4	+1	17
7	Mjallby	13	4	4	5	-3	16
8	Malmo FF	13	4	3	6	-4	15
9	Elfsborg	13	3	5	5	+2	14
10	Norrkoping	13	3	4	6	-6	13
11	Varnamo	13	3	3	7	-13	12
12	Sirius	13	2	5	6	-12	11
13	Varberg	13	3	2	8	-14	11
14	Helsingborg	13	2	2	9	-12	8
15	Degerfors	13	1	3	9	-17	6
16	Sundsvall	13	0	2	11	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.