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KNVB Beker
Referee: M Nagtegaal
2–2
Full-time
Vitesse
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kozakken Boys Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 ADO '20 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 URK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Staphorst 3 1 1 1 +1 4
6 Hoek 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 OFC Oostzaan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 HV & CV Quick 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Den Bosch 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Kozakken Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Dongen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 TEC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Telstar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 GVVV Veenendaal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 DEM 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Harkemase Boys 2 0 1 1 -4 1
39 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kozakken Boys Vitesse
14′
B. Białek 0–1
M. Bero
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Sankoh
↦ Ferro
46′
🔁 M. Manhoef
↦ G. de Regt
46′
🔁 T. Hájek
↦ E. Cornelisse
1–1 L. Hutten
47′
63′
🟨 S. Tronstad
67′
K. Kozłowski 1–2
M. Manhoef
E. Herman 🔁
↦ L. Hutten
77′
J. Lommers 🔁
↦ K. Vermeulen
78′
U. Altintas 🔁
↦ F. Korporaal
81′
2–2 L. van Zundert
U. Altintas
82′
86′
🔁 N. Frederiksen
↦ M. Bero
U. Altintas 🟨
90′
D. da Silva Mendes 🔁
↦ F. Keukens
101′
J. Geelhoedt 🔁
↦ L. van Zundert
110′
K. Ramsteijn 🟨
116′
116′
🟨 T. Hajek
121′
K. Kozłowski 2–3
3–3 J. Lommers
122′
123′
S. Tronstad 3–4
4–4 U. Altintas
124′
125′
B. Białek 4–5
5–5 S. van Ingen
126′
127′
M. Meulensteen
penalty missed
6–5 G. Stout
128′
129′
N. Frederiksen 6–6
7–6 K. Ramsteijn
130′
Full-time 7–6

Line-ups

Kozakken Boys

1 B. Janssen
5 K. Ramsteijn
14 S. van Ingen
2 F. Keukens
15 K. Cornet
12 G. Stout
18 K. Vermeulen
3 N. Hoogveld
8 F. Korporaal
25 L. Hutten
10 L. van Zundert
Bench (10)
21 E. Herman
19 J. Lommers
11 U. Altintas
22 D. da Silva Mendes
17 J. Geelhoedt
51 M. van de Meulenhof
26 M. Mathilda
7 D. Snepvangers
4 S. Warmolts
16 G. Creutzburg

Coach: S. Calderwood

Vitesse

33 D. Reiziger
2 C. Arcus
5 Ferro
20 M. Meulensteen
13 E. Cornelisse
3 R. Flamingo
21 M. Bero
8 S. Tronstad
17 K. Kozłowski
14 B. Białek
25 G. de Regt
Bench (11)
9 M. Sankoh
42 M. Manhoef
18 T. Hájek
11 N. Frederiksen
29 T. Buitink
53 S. van Duivenbooden
1 M. Schubert
26 M. Jonathans
24 J. Houwen
27 R. Yapi
22 T. Domgjoni

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.