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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Birmingham

U U T S S

1–1

Full-time

Burnley

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — Championship · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 40%

36%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

36%

64%

Average goals

1,9

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%

14 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Birmingham 15. · Burnley 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	16	9	0	7	+3	27
2	Burnley	14	6	7	1	+12	25
3	Sheffield United	14	7	4	3	+11	25
4	Luton	15	6	6	3	+6	24
5	Norwich	15	7	3	5	+5	24
6	QPR	14	7	3	4	+4	24
7	Swansea	15	7	3	5	-2	24
8	Preston	16	5	7	4	-1	22
9	Reading	15	7	1	7	-6	22
10	Rotherham	14	5	6	3	+3	21
11	Bristol City	16	6	3	7	+1	21
12	Sunderland	15	5	5	5	+3	20
13	Watford	14	5	5	4	+2	20
14	Millwall	14	6	2	6	-1	20
15	Birmingham	14	5	4	5	+2	19
16	Stoke	15	5	4	6	-1	19
17	Wigan	14	5	4	5	-3	19
18	Cardiff	14	5	3	6	-2	18
19	Blackpool	14	4	4	6	-4	16
20	West Brom	15	2	8	5	-1	14
21	Hull	14	4	2	8	-15	14
22	Middlesbrough	13	3	4	6	-4	13
23	Huddersfield	14	3	2	9	-6	11
24	Coventry	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	8	6	0	2	+8	18
2	Reading	8	5	1	2	+3	16
3	Rotherham	8	4	3	1	+8	15
4	Millwall	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Sheffield United	7	4	2	1	+9	14
6	Norwich	8	4	2	2	+5	14
7	Burnley	7	3	4	0	+7	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	+4	13
9	Watford	7	4	1	2	+2	13
10	Swansea	8	4	1	3	+0	13
11	Middlesbrough	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Hull	8	4	0	4	-5	12
13	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
14	Cardiff	7	3	2	2	+1	11
15	Sunderland	7	2	4	1	+3	10
16	Luton	8	2	4	2	+2	10
17	Huddersfield	8	3	1	4	+1	10
18	Birmingham	6	2	2	2	+2	8
19	Stoke	7	2	2	3	-2	8
20	Blackpool	6	2	1	3	+0	7
21	West Brom	8	1	4	3	-1	7
22	Preston	8	1	4	3	-4	7
23	Wigan	7	1	3	3	-6	6
24	Coventry	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	8	4	3	1	+3	15
2	Luton	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Wigan	7	4	1	2	+3	13
4	QPR	8	4	1	3	+1	13
5	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	Sheffield United	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Stoke	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Birmingham	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Swansea	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Sunderland	8	3	1	4	+0	10
11	Norwich	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Blackpool	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Blackburn	8	3	0	5	-5	9
14	Bristol City	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Watford	7	1	4	2	+0	7
17	Cardiff	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	Coventry	8	1	4	3	-4	7
19	Rotherham	6	1	3	2	-5	6
20	Reading	7	2	0	5	-9	6
21	Millwall	7	1	2	4	-6	5
22	Hull	6	0	2	4	-10	2
23	Middlesbrough	5	0	1	4	-5	1
24	Huddersfield	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.