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KNVB Beker
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 ADO '20 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 URK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Staphorst 3 1 1 1 +1 4
6 Hoek 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 OFC Oostzaan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 HV & CV Quick 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Den Bosch 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Kozakken Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Dongen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 TEC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Telstar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 GVVV Veenendaal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 DEM 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Harkemase Boys 2 0 1 1 -4 1
39 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Helmond Sport
1–0 J. Idzes
P. Rommens
7′
M. Berden 🔁
↦ R. Fernandes
21′
2–0 P. Rommens
M. Berden
34′
37′
H. Lorentzen 2–1
M. Kaars
42′
🟨 M. Chacon
3–1 S. Sow
42′
Half-time 3–1
61′
🔁 M. Scholten
↦ G. Bosiers
62′
🔁 D. Dassy
↦ E. Lieftink
I. Lidberg 🔁
↦ F. Stokkers
68′
O. Edvardsen 🔁
↦ W. Willumsson
69′
69′
🔁 D. Mistrafović
↦ J. Lion
76′
🔁 G. Çulhacı
↦ B. Van Hove
76′
🔁 W. Essanoussi
↦ H. Lorentzen
E. Llansana 🔁
↦ S. Sow
82′
J. Markelo 🔁
↦ P. Rommens
82′
86′
🟨 D. Dassy
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

1 J. de Lange
3 G. Nauber
2 M. Deijl
4 José Fontán
15 T. Tekie
10 P. Rommens
18 W. Willumsson
6 J. Idzes
27 F. Stokkers
7 R. Fernandes
19 S. Sow
Bench (12)
17 M. Berden
9 I. Lidberg
23 O. Edvardsen
21 E. Llansana
24 J. Markelo
16 S. Jansen
26 J. Bakker
20 X. Blomme
25 J. Amofa
14 A. Aventisian
28 P. Saathof
40 L. Plogmann

Coach: R. Hake

Helmond Sport

1 M. Havekotte
2 B. van Vlerken
4 R. van der Meer
3 F. Van Den Eynden
17 B. Van Hove
29 M. Chacón
22 E. Lieftink
33 G. Bosiers
6 J. Lion
8 H. Lorentzen
9 M. Kaars
Bench (9)
14 M. Scholten
27 D. Dassy
5 D. Mistrafović
30 G. Çulhacı
7 W. Essanoussi
28 T. Essakkati
21 R. Mantel
23 A. Azmi
15 E. Terzi

Coach: S. Swinnen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.