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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Werder Bremen
T S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
28%
52%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
36%
48%
Both score Ø 56%
64%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 12. · Wolfsburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 25 18 4 3 +39 58
2 RB Leipzig 26 17 6 3 +27 57
3 Wolfsburg 25 13 9 3 +22 48
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 11 11 3 +14 44
5 Dortmund 25 13 3 9 +17 42
6 Leverkusen 25 11 7 7 +15 40
7 Union Berlin 25 9 11 5 +11 38
8 Stuttgart 25 9 9 7 +10 36
9 Freiburg 25 9 7 9 -2 34
10 M'gladbach 25 8 9 8 +1 33
11 Hoffenheim 25 8 6 11 -4 30
12 Werder Bremen 25 7 9 9 -6 30
13 Augsburg 25 8 5 12 -11 29
14 FC Koln 25 5 7 13 -21 22
15 Bielefeld 26 6 4 16 -25 22
16 Hertha 25 5 6 14 -17 21
17 Mainz 25 5 6 14 -20 21
18 Schalke 04 25 1 7 17 -50 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
8′
J. Sargent 1–0
own goal
42′
W. Weghorst 1–1
X. Schlager
2–1 K. Möhwald
45′
Half-time 2–1
Josh Sargent 🟨
58′
L. Bittencourt 🔁
↦ R. Schmid
58′
N. Füllkrug 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
58′
74′
🔁 João Victor
↦ J. Brekalo
81′
🟨 Xaver Schlager
D. Selke 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
82′
Y. Ōsako 🔁
↦ K. Möhwald
82′
86′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ A. Mehmedi
F. Agu 🔁
↦ M. Veljkovic
88′
Leonardo Bittencourt 🟨
90′
Niclas Füllkrug 🟨
90′
95′
🔁 M. Philipp
↦ X. Schlager
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie M
5 L. Augustinsson M
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
6 K. Möhwald M
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
20 R. Schmid M
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
10 L. Bittencourt
11 N. Füllkrug
9 D. Selke
8 Y. Ōsako
17 F. Agu
36 C. Groß
38 E. Santos
18 N. Moisander
34 J. Mbom

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
25 J. Brooks D
19 K. Mbabu D
4 M. Lacroix D
14 A. Mehmedi M
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt D
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo M
20 R. Baku M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (8)
40 João Victor
23 J. Guilavogui
17 M. Philipp
21 B. Białek
15 J. Roussillon
33 D. Ginczek
12 P. Pervan
39 T. Siersleben

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,29
U
3,61
B ✓
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.