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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
M'gladbach
T T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
30%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
65%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
70%
39%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

67% Possession 33%
23 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match M'gladbach 13. · Wolfsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 18 1 4 +48 55
2 Dortmund 23 16 1 6 +27 49
3 Leverkusen 23 12 5 6 +21 41
4 Hoffenheim 24 12 4 8 +11 40
5 RB Leipzig 23 11 4 8 +21 37
6 Freiburg 23 10 7 6 +10 37
7 FC Koln 23 9 8 6 -2 35
8 Mainz 23 10 4 9 +8 34
9 Union Berlin 23 9 7 7 -2 34
10 Ein Frankfurt 23 8 7 8 -2 31
11 Bochum 23 8 5 10 -8 29
12 Wolfsburg 23 8 3 12 -11 27
13 M'gladbach 23 7 5 11 -16 26
14 Bielefeld 23 5 10 8 -7 25
15 Hertha 23 6 5 12 -26 23
16 Augsburg 23 5 7 11 -15 22
17 Stuttgart 24 4 7 13 -17 19
18 Greuther Furth 23 3 4 16 -40 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Wolfsburg
6′
J. Wind 0–1
R. Baku
33′
S. Bornauw 0–2
M. Philipp
Yann Sommer 🟨
34′
37′
🟨 Maximilian Philipp
38′
🟨 Ridle Baku
1–2 M. Thuram
A. Pléa
42′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 Y. Gerhardt
↦ M. Philipp
58′
🔁 X. Schlager
↦ A. Vranckx
58′
🔁 K. Mbabu
↦ R. Baku
K. Koné 🔁
↦ C. Kramer
60′
Jordan Beyer 🟨
65′
Kouadio Koné ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
70′
70′
🟥 Maxence Lacroix
76′
🟨 Koen Casteels
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
77′
78′
🔁 R. Steffen
↦ M. Kruse
P. Herrmann 🔁
↦ S. Lainer
81′
2–2 B. Embolo
A. Pléa
82′
Matthias Ginter ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
92′
93′
🟨 Yannick Gerhardt
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

M'gladbach

3-4-2-1
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer M
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaïni M
15 L. Beyer D
6 C. Kramer M
23 J. Hofmann F
32 F. Neuhaus M
14 A. Pléa F
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
17 K. Koné
36 B. Embolo
7 P. Herrmann
29 J. Scally
20 L. Netz
34 C. Noß
22 L. Bénes
21 T. Sippel
37 K. Bennetts

Coach: A. Hütter

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon M
25 J. Brooks D
20 R. Baku M
3 S. Bornauw D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
17 M. Philipp F
8 A. Vranckx M
9 M. Kruse F
23 J. Wind F
Bench (9)
31 Y. Gerhardt
24 X. Schlager
19 K. Mbabu
11 R. Steffen
7 L. Waldschmidt
28 D. Lukébakio
22 F. Nmecha
21 B. Białek
12 P. Pervan

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,53
B
3,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.